Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Kolar vs Ribecai 0:2: result and our tips

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Zdenek KolarATP #196Elo 1660clay 1664
0:2final1:6 1:6
Michele RibecaiATP #282Elo 1619clay 1598

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zdenek Kolar56%
Michele Ribecai44%

Elo: Z. Kolar 59% · M. Ribecai 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Kolar36%
2:1 Z. Kolar21%
2:1 M. Ribecai18%
2:0 M. Ribecai25%

First set

Zdenek Kolar56%
Michele Ribecai44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%64%34%

Sample: 4,691 matches

Games handicap

Zdenek Kolar −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 14 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Zdenek KolarMichele Ribecai
1Aces0
4Double faults0
66%First serves in58%
55%First-serve points won68%
13%Second-serve points won70%
0/4Break points converted5/11
2/7Service games held7/7
40%Service points won69%
31%Return points won60%
34Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. KolarTourM. Ribecai
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held73%76%73%
Breaks of serve28%24%31%
Aces per service game0.220.15
Double faults per game0.330.20
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won9/227/15
Wins in straight sets79%74%
Matches in the sample6865

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zdenek Kolar

Michele Ribecai

Elo over the last year

Zdenek KolarMichele Ribecai

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. KolarM. Ribecai
Hard court5–742%17–1553%
Clay28–2751%17–1652%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Zdenek Kolar

Michele Ribecai