Kotov vs Griekspoor 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 68%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Kotov 14 of 20, Griekspoor 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 46%
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Kotov 9 of 20, Griekspoor 12 of 20 (tour average 39%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P. Kotov 41% · T. Griekspoor 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 26.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 5,098 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Over 23.0out · 23 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Pavel Kotov | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 7 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 69% | First serves in | 56% |
| 79% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 68% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 10/11 | Service games held | 9/11 |
| 75% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 25% |
| 72 | Total points won | 61 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Kotov | Tour | T. Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 33% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 16% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.65 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/25 | 10/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 37 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Pavel Kotov
- 06/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#115ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 6:7 6:3
- 23/09/26LShintaro Mochizuki#123ATP Chengdu · Q25:7 3:6
- 22/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455ATP Chengdu · Q16:7 7:5 7:5
- 20/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · F0:6 3:6
- 19/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · SF7:6 7:6
- 18/09/26WRio Noguchi#221Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:1 7:6
- 16/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:4 7:6
- 15/09/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:6 6:1
- 12/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · SF3:6 5:7
Tallon Griekspoor
- 01/10/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Beijing · R324:6 7:5 6:7
- 24/09/26LDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Chengdu · R324:6 6:7
- 31/08/26LBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · R1286:1 1:6 6:7 2:6
- 09/08/26LDaniel Merida#44ATP Montreal · R163:6 1:6
- 07/08/26WMatteo Arnaldi#38ATP Montreal · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 05/08/26WAlexander Zverev#2ATP Montreal · R646:7 6:2 6:4
- 04/08/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Montreal · R1287:6 7:5
- 27/07/26LAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Washington · R326:7 6:4 4:6
- 30/06/26LJames Duckworth#64ATP Wimbledon · R1284:6 6:4 5:7 4:6
- 16/06/26LSho Shimabukuro#109ATP Halle · R324:6 6:3 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Kotov | T. Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1076% | 12–1152% |
| Clay | 2–529% | 3–730% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–325% |
Head to head
P. Kotov 2–2 T. Griekspoor
- 14/10/24Winner: Tallon Griekspoor4:6 3:6
- 20/10/23Winner: Pavel Kotov7:6 6:2
- 16/01/23Winner: Tallon Griekspoor3:6 6:7 3:6
- 06/04/22Winner: Pavel Kotov0:6 6:2 6:2
Road through the tournament
Pavel Kotov
- 05/10/26WMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 6:7 6:3
- 06/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#115ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:3
Tallon Griekspoor
First match in this tournament.