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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kovinic vs Noha Akugue 0:2: result and our tips

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Danka KovinicWTA #858Elo 1607hard 1564
0:2final6:7(4) 1:6
Noma Noha AkugueWTA #126Elo 1592hard 1564

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Noha Akugue 2-0Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kovinic lost 0-2 in 4 of the last 6 matches, Noha Akugue won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Danka Kovinic13%
Noma Noha Akugue87%

Elo: D. Kovinic 50% · N. Noha Akugue 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Kovinic7%
2:1 D. Kovinic7%
2:1 N. Noha Akugue18%
2:0 N. Noha Akugue69%

First set

Danka Kovinic19%
Noma Noha Akugue81%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%87%
16.569%31%79%
17.560%40%70%
18.548%52%61%
19.541%59%53%
20.534%66%46%
21.530%70%42%

Sample: 1,022 matches

Games handicap

N. Noha Akugue −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 18.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Danka KovinicNoma Noha Akugue
0Aces4
7Double faults7
46%First serves in46%
62%First-serve points won81%
50%Second-serve points won48%
2/7Break points converted4/6
5/9Service games held8/10
55%Service points won63%
37%Return points won45%
60Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. KovinicTourN. Noha Akugue
Service points won51%56%55%
Return points won42%44%45%
Service games held55%63%60%
Breaks of serve32%37%40%
Aces per service game0.210.18
Double faults per game0.440.31
Sets with a tie-break0%9%
Tie-breaks won0/06/8
Wins in straight sets0%85%
Matches in the sample640

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Danka Kovinic

  • 16/07/26LJulia Riera#140WTA 125 Rome · R166:3 5:7 5:7
  • 14/07/26WNoemi Basiletti#232WTA 125 Rome · R326:2 1:6 6:4
  • 16/06/26LMiriam Bianca Bulgaru#377WTA 125 Brescia · R324:6 3:6
  • 24/05/26LXiyu Wang#82WTA French Open · R1283:6 1:6
  • 18/05/26LFiona Ferro#99WTA Rabat · R322:6 3:6
  • 05/05/26LAdelina Lachinova#772WTA 125 Istanbul · R325:7 1:6
  • 16/01/25LDayana Yastremska#97WTA Australian Open · R640:6 1:6
  • 14/01/25WLulu Sun#379WTA Australian Open · R1286:3 7:5
  • 31/12/24LSara Saito#254WTA 125 Canberra · R326:7 1:6
  • 28/08/23LLauren DavisWTA US Open · R1282:6 2:6

Noma Noha Akugue

  • 13/10/26LRebeka Masarova#158WTA 125 Mallorca · R324:6 3:6
  • 07/10/26LLucrezia Stefanini#118WTA 125 Samsun · R162:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Samsun · Q27:5 6:3
  • 04/10/26WIlay Yoruk#736WTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:4
  • 28/09/26LFiona Crawley#205WTA 125 Adana · R323:6 1:6
  • 17/09/26LMalaika Rapolu#282WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:4 3:6 0:6
  • 15/09/26WAyana Akli#273WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:3 6:0
  • 13/09/26LFiona Ferro#99WTA 125 Montreux · F1:6 2:6
  • 12/09/26WGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#138WTA 125 Montreux · SF7:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Danka KovinicNoma Noha Akugue

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. KovinicN. Noha Akugue
Hard court0–07–654%
Clay1–517%12–1250%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.