Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kravchenko vs Donski 2:0: result and our tips

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Georgii KravchenkoATP #313Elo 1568hard 1513
2:0final7:5 6:2
Alexander DonskiATP #531Elo 1620hard 1620

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: KravchenkoWon63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kravchenko won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Georgii Kravchenko61%
Alexander Donski39%

Elo: G. Kravchenko 35% · A. Donski 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Kravchenko40%
2:1 G. Kravchenko22%
2:1 A. Donski16%
2:0 A. Donski23%

First set

Georgii Kravchenko58%
Alexander Donski42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,740 matches

Games handicap

Georgii Kravchenko −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Georgii KravchenkoAlexander Donski
5Aces8
1Double faults3
66%First serves in51%
71%First-serve points won64%
61%Second-serve points won34%
5/10Break points converted2/2
8/10Service games held5/10
68%Service points won49%
51%Return points won32%
75Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. KravchenkoTourA. Donski
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won41%38%36%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve30%24%21%
Aces per service game0.330.76
Double faults per game0.200.45
Sets with a tie-break11%20%
Tie-breaks won6/911/21
Wins in straight sets74%64%
Matches in the sample3444

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Georgii Kravchenko

  • 07/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#103Challenger Villena · R325:7 3:6
  • 05/10/26WHugo Grenier#269Challenger Villena · Q27:6 6:4
  • 04/10/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Villena · Q16:4 6:2
  • 27/09/26LGoncalo Marques#594Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:2 3:6 4:6
  • 08/09/26LRadu Albot#468Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
  • 06/09/26WYanaki Milev#619Challenger Plovdiv 3 · F6:0 6:2
  • 05/09/26WDusan Obradovic#461Challenger Plovdiv 3 · SF2:6 6:2 6:3
  • 04/09/26WOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF6:3 6:3
  • 02/09/26WOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R166:0 7:6
  • 01/09/26WDaniel Siniakov#519Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:6 3:6 7:6

Alexander Donski

  • 27/09/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Porto 2 · Q13:6 6:3 1:6
  • 17/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Quebec City · Q14:6 6:1 1:6
  • 07/08/26LDaniil Glinka#178Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · QF6:7 4:6
  • 05/08/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R166:4 7:6
  • 04/08/26WTakuya Kumasaka#615Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R327:5 6:4
  • 03/08/26WNitin Kumar Sinha#885Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q26:3 6:4
  • 02/08/26WKenny De Schepper#966Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q12:6 6:4 7:6
  • 21/07/26LMax Hans Rehberg#280Challenger Zug · R324:6 3:6
  • 20/07/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Zug · Q27:5 6:3
  • 19/07/26WMarko ToPo#330Challenger Zug · Q16:4 6:1

Elo over the last year

Georgii KravchenkoAlexander Donski

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. KravchenkoA. Donski
Hard court2–340%15–1060%
Clay17–1259%10–953%

Head to head

They have not met yet.