Skip to content
Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Lalami Laaroussi vs Salazar Martinez 1:2: result and our tips

·

Younes Lalami LaaroussiElo 1349clay 1377
1:2final6:4 3:6 3:6
Daniel Salazar MartinezATP #658Elo 1461clay 1462

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Lalami Laaroussi 7 of 7, Salazar Martinez 14 of 17 (tour average 66%); Lalami Laaroussi: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Lost57%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Lalami Laaroussi 6 of 7, Salazar Martinez 14 of 17 (tour average 60%); Lalami Laaroussi: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 45%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Lalami Laaroussi 5 of 7, Salazar Martinez 13 of 17 (tour average 48%); Salazar Martinez: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Younes Lalami Laaroussi32%
Daniel Salazar Martinez68%

Elo: Y. Lalami Laaroussi 38% · D. Salazar Martinez 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Lalami Laaroussi18%
2:1 Y. Lalami Laaroussi14%
2:1 D. Salazar Martinez23%
2:0 D. Salazar Martinez45%

First set

Younes Lalami Laaroussi37%
Daniel Salazar Martinez64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,216 matches

Games handicap

D. Salazar Martinez −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Younes Lalami LaaroussiDaniel Salazar Martinez
6Aces1
7Double faults4
55%First serves in69%
63%First-serve points won64%
38%Second-serve points won48%
4/7Break points converted6/11
8/14Service games held10/14
52%Service points won59%
41%Return points won48%
81Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. Lalami LaaroussiTourD. Salazar Martinez
Service points won60%62%57%
Return points won36%38%41%
Service games held71%76%68%
Breaks of serve21%24%31%
Aces per service game0.410.18
Double faults per game0.420.16
Sets with a tie-break6%5%
Tie-breaks won0/10/2
Wins in straight sets100%75%
Matches in the sample817

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Younes Lalami Laaroussi

  • 02/08/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#537Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q14:6 3:6
  • 07/05/26LFlorent Bax#290Challenger Brazzaville · R162:6 4:6
  • 05/05/26WBrandon PerezChallenger Brazzaville · R326:2 6:1
  • 28/04/26LNiels Visker#419Challenger Abidjan 2 · R322:6 2:4
  • 22/04/26LCalvin Hemery#279Challenger Abidjan · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/04/26WJody MaginleyChallenger Abidjan · Q26:4 7:5
  • 29/03/26LMoez Echargui#350ATP Marrakech · Q14:6 6:7
  • 02/11/25LCooper Williams#924Challenger Knoxville · Q12:6 1:6
  • 13/04/25LAziz Ouakaa#513Challenger Abidjan · Q10:6 6:4 3:6
  • 01/04/25LPablo Carreno Busta#74ATP Marrakech · R321:6 3:6

Daniel Salazar Martinez

  • 20/10/26LJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Cali · R323:6 1:6
  • 19/10/26WAlan Magadan#501Challenger Cali · Q26:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26WBenjamin Torrealba#829Challenger Cali · Q16:3 6:4
  • 06/09/26LMika Petkovic#392Challenger Genoa · Q12:6 2:6
  • 16/08/26LLorenzo Bocchi#613Challenger Sion · Q12:6 5:7
  • 13/07/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#305Challenger Cordenons · Q11:6 6:4 3:6
  • 12/07/26WFederico Arnaboldi#470Challenger Cordenons · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
  • 14/06/26LMatteo Martineau#245Challenger Parma · Q12:6 5:7
  • 13/04/26LSantiago De la Fuente#712Challenger Santa Cruz · Q21:6 2:6
  • 12/04/26WRafael Tosetto#819Challenger Santa Cruz · Q16:3 7:5

Elo over the last year

Younes Lalami LaaroussiDaniel Salazar Martinez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. Lalami LaaroussiD. Salazar Martinez
Hard court1–420%0–0
Clay1–233%8–947%

Head to head

They have not met yet.