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WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Leme Da Silva vs Papamichail 2:1: result and our tips

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Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da SilvaWTA #609Elo 1487clay 1437
2:1final7:5 1:6 6:3
Despina PapamichailWTA #203Elo 1535clay 1531

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Papamichail: 9 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva48%
Despina Papamichail52%

Elo: N. Leme Da Silva 37% · D. Papamichail 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Leme Da Silva30%
2:1 N. Leme Da Silva19%
2:1 D. Papamichail20%
2:0 D. Papamichail32%

First set

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva50%
Despina Papamichail50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.549%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,380 matches

Games handicap

D. Papamichail −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da SilvaDespina Papamichail
—Aces—
4Double faults5
63%First serves in65%
60%First-serve points won56%
33%Second-serve points won45%
7/10Break points converted7/9
7/14Service games held7/14
50%Service points won52%
48%Return points won50%
81Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. Leme Da SilvaTourD. Papamichail
Service points won53%56%52%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held56%63%55%
Breaks of serve35%37%42%
Aces per service game0.210.06
Double faults per game0.510.19
Sets with a tie-break0%9%
Tie-breaks won0/02/8
Wins in straight sets0%63%
Matches in the sample340

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva

Despina Papamichail

Elo over the last year

Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da SilvaDespina Papamichail

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. Leme Da SilvaD. Papamichail
Hard court1–150%2–250%
Clay0–10%17–1849%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.