WTA WuhanWTA 1000Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Li vs Świątek 0:2: result and our tips

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Ann LiWTA #25Elo 1898hard 1872
0:2final4:6 1:6
Iga ŚwiątekWTA #9Elo 2175hard 2153

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Swiatek 2-0Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Li lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 20 matches, Swiatek won 2-0 in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Li 14 of 20, Swiatek 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 17.5Won34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 17.5 games in recent matches: Li 5 of 20, Swiatek 11 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ann Li19%
Iga Świątek81%

Elo: A. Li 17% · I. Świątek 84%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Li9%
2:1 A. Li10%
2:1 I. Świątek22%
2:0 I. Świątek60%

First set

Ann Li25%
Iga Świątek75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%82%
17.567%33%72%
18.558%42%63%
19.550%50%56%
20.543%57%49%
21.540%60%44%
22.534%66%38%

Sample: 1,331 matches

Games handicap

Iga Świątek −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ann LiIga Świątek
1Aces0
2Double faults1
61%First serves in72%
64%First-serve points won74%
36%Second-serve points won60%
0/3Break points converted4/9
5/9Service games held8/8
53%Service points won70%
30%Return points won48%
47Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. LiTourI. Świątek
Service points won59%56%61%
Return points won42%44%48%
Service games held71%63%74%
Breaks of serve32%37%45%
Aces per service game0.440.18
Double faults per game0.250.29
Sets with a tie-break14%8%
Tie-breaks won11/196/10
Wins in straight sets55%77%
Matches in the sample5854

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ann Li

Iga Świątek

Elo over the last year

Ann LiIga Świątek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. LiI. Świątek
Hard court22–1658%28–976%
Clay9–660%9–469%
Grass2–340%2–250%

Head to head

A. Li 1–0 I. Świątek

  • 25/04/26Winner: Ann Li7:6 2:6 3:0

Road through the tournament

Ann Li

Iga Świątek