WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Liu vs Inglis 2:0: result and our tips

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Claire LiuWTA #95Elo 1752hard 1726
2:0final6:4 6:3
Maddison InglisWTA #133Elo 1730hard 1727

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Inglis: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Liu 15 of 20, Inglis 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Inglis: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Liu 16 of 20, Inglis 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No tie-break in recent matches: Liu 18 of 20, Inglis 17 of 20 (tour average 78%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Liu 2-0Won42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Liu won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Inglis lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Claire Liu66%
Maddison Inglis34%

Elo: C. Liu 50% · M. Inglis 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Liu42%
2:1 C. Liu22%
2:1 M. Inglis16%
2:0 M. Inglis21%

First set

Claire Liu61%
Maddison Inglis39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,210 matches

Games handicap

Claire Liu −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Claire LiuMaddison Inglis
10Aces1
1Double faults2
61%First serves in82%
67%First-serve points won59%
65%Second-serve points won22%
4/7Break points converted2/4
8/10Service games held5/9
66%Service points won52%
48%Return points won34%
63Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LiuTourM. Inglis
Service points won58%56%59%
Return points won46%44%41%
Service games held69%63%69%
Breaks of serve41%37%30%
Aces per service game0.290.20
Double faults per game0.270.27
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won3/105/10
Wins in straight sets67%56%
Matches in the sample4832

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Claire Liu

Maddison Inglis

Elo over the last year

Claire LiuMaddison Inglis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LiuM. Inglis
Hard court18–1162%16–964%
Clay7–558%0–20%
Grass5–271%2–340%

Head to head

C. Liu 1–1 M. Inglis

  • 14/01/26Winner: Maddison Inglis6:7 6:2 4:6
  • 21/08/25Winner: Claire Liu6:3 7:5

Road through the tournament

Claire Liu

Maddison Inglis

See also