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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Magadan vs Galarraga 2:0: result and our tips

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Alan MagadanATP #501Elo 1575clay 1536
2:0final6:3 6:4
Mario Andre GalarragaElo 1392clay 1399

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alan Magadan96%
Mario Andre Galarraga4%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Magadan85%
2:1 A. Magadan11%
2:1 M. Galarraga3%
2:0 M. Galarraga2%

First set

Alan Magadan92%
Mario Andre Galarraga8%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 16.5 · 53%market (no margin): 45%

The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.589%11%98%
14.580%20%96%
15.566%34%91%
16.553%47%84%
17.541%59%76%
18.534%66%68%
19.528%72%59%

Sample: 1,128 matches

Games handicap

A. Magadan −7.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 16.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Alan MagadanMario Andre Galarraga
0Aces3
3Double faults13
66%First serves in49%
66%First-serve points won65%
56%Second-serve points won37%
5/9Break points converted2/3
7/9Service games held5/10
62%Service points won51%
49%Return points won38%
67Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MagadanTourM. Galarraga
Service points won61%62%—
Return points won40%38%—
Service games held74%76%—
Breaks of serve26%24%—
Aces per service game0.39—
Double faults per game0.29—
Sets with a tie-break15%—
Tie-breaks won8/13—
Wins in straight sets50%—
Matches in the sample36—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alan Magadan

  • 19/10/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#658Challenger Cali · Q23:6 1:6
  • 18/10/26WJuan Miguel Bolivar IdarragaChallenger Cali · Q16:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#547Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26WNicolas Bruna#990Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 7:6
  • 20/08/26LColeman Wong#87Challenger Cancun · R164:6 6:1 6:7
  • 20/08/26WAlex Hernandez#497Challenger Cancun · R324:6 6:0 6:4
  • 19/08/26WRio Noguchi#214Challenger Cancun · Q26:3 7:6
  • 18/08/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#190Challenger Cancun · Q16:4 7:6
  • 27/07/26LAlex Hernandez#497ATP Los Cabos · Q23:6 6:7
  • 26/07/26WGarrett Johns#460ATP Los Cabos · R162:6 6:1 6:1

Mario Andre Galarraga

  • 30/06/26LHernan Casanova#435Challenger Quito · R320:6 2:6
  • 18/11/25LLuis David MartinezChallenger Guayaquil · R327:6 2:6 0:4
  • 13/09/21LAlejandro GomezChallenger Quito · Q13:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Alan MagadanMario Andre Galarraga

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MagadanM. Galarraga
Hard court9–950%0–0
Clay9–950%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.