Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Magadan vs Salazar Martinez 0:2: result and our tips

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Alan MagadanATP #504Elo 1615clay 1579
0:2final3:6 1:6
Daniel Salazar MartinezATP #691Elo 1430clay 1435

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alan Magadan60%
Daniel Salazar Martinez40%

Elo: A. Magadan 70% · D. Salazar Martinez 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Magadan39%
2:1 A. Magadan22%
2:1 D. Salazar Martinez17%
2:0 D. Salazar Martinez23%

First set

Alan Magadan58%
Daniel Salazar Martinez42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,906 matches

Games handicap

Alan Magadan −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Alan MagadanDaniel Salazar Martinez
0Aces2
2Double faults2
53%First serves in46%
45%First-serve points won67%
43%Second-serve points won59%
1/4Break points converted5/13
3/8Service games held7/8
44%Service points won63%
37%Return points won56%
48Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MagadanTourD. Salazar Martinez
Service points won61%62%57%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held75%76%68%
Breaks of serve26%24%31%
Aces per service game0.400.18
Double faults per game0.290.15
Sets with a tie-break15%6%
Tie-breaks won8/130/2
Wins in straight sets50%71%
Matches in the sample3515

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alan Magadan

  • 18/10/26WJuan Miguel Bolivar IdarragaChallenger Cali · Q16:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#612Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26WNicolas BrunaChallenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 7:6
  • 20/08/26LColeman Wong#92Challenger Cancun · R164:6 6:1 6:7
  • 20/08/26WAlex Hernandez#507Challenger Cancun · R324:6 6:0 6:4
  • 19/08/26WRio Noguchi#215Challenger Cancun · Q26:3 7:6
  • 18/08/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Cancun · Q16:4 7:6
  • 27/07/26LAlex Hernandez#507ATP Los Cabos · Q23:6 6:7
  • 26/07/26WGarrett Johns#458ATP Los Cabos · R162:6 6:1 6:1
  • 22/07/26LMichael Zheng#101Challenger Bloomfield Hills · R165:7 3:6

Daniel Salazar Martinez

  • 18/10/26WBenjamin Torrealba#816Challenger Cali · Q16:3 6:4
  • 06/09/26LMika Petkovic#424Challenger Genoa · Q12:6 2:6
  • 16/08/26LLorenzo Bocchi#608Challenger Sion · Q12:6 5:7
  • 13/07/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#285Challenger Cordenons · Q11:6 6:4 3:6
  • 12/07/26WFederico Arnaboldi#469Challenger Cordenons · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
  • 14/06/26LMatteo Martineau#243Challenger Parma · Q12:6 5:7
  • 13/04/26LSantiago De la Fuente#712Challenger Santa Cruz · Q21:6 2:6
  • 12/04/26WRafael Tosetto#861Challenger Santa Cruz · Q16:3 7:5
  • 26/03/26LMatias Soto#265Challenger Bucaramanga · QF5:7 1:6
  • 25/03/26WLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#332Challenger Bucaramanga · R166:0 6:3

Elo over the last year

Alan MagadanDaniel Salazar Martinez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MagadanD. Salazar Martinez
Hard court9–950%0–0
Clay9–853%7–847%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alan Magadan

Daniel Salazar Martinez