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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Mandlik vs Arango 2:0: result and our tips

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Elizabeth MandlikWTA #210Elo 1498clay 1441
2:0final6:4 6:4
Emiliana ArangoWTA #157Elo 1595clay 1573

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Arango: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mandlik: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: MandlikWon48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mandlik won the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Arango lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elizabeth Mandlik43%
Emiliana Arango57%

Elo: E. Mandlik 32% · E. Arango 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Mandlik27%
2:1 E. Mandlik18%
2:1 E. Arango22%
2:0 E. Arango34%

First set

Elizabeth Mandlik48%
Emiliana Arango52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.537%64%31%

Sample: 1,521 matches

Games handicap

E. Arango −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Elizabeth MandlikEmiliana Arango
0Aces2
4Double faults7
70%First serves in46%
61%First-serve points won58%
43%Second-serve points won44%
5/9Break points converted3/10
7/10Service games held5/10
57%Service points won51%
49%Return points won44%
72Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. MandlikTourE. Arango
Service points won55%56%54%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held60%63%59%
Breaks of serve35%37%35%
Aces per service game0.150.13
Double faults per game0.430.28
Sets with a tie-break11%11%
Tie-breaks won2/63/11
Wins in straight sets63%60%
Matches in the sample2444

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elizabeth Mandlik

  • 25/08/26LKristina Penickova#496WTA US Open · Q15:7 2:6
  • 11/08/26LOksana Selekhmeteva#120WTA Cincinnati · Q17:6 4:6 3:6
  • 10/07/26LKatie Volynets#81WTA 125 Newport · QF6:3 4:6 3:6
  • 09/07/26WReese Brantmeier#217WTA 125 Newport · R166:3 4:6 6:2
  • 08/07/26WMomoko Kobori#375WTA 125 Newport · R326:1 6:4
  • 23/06/26LAlina Charaeva#100WTA Wimbledon · Q12:6 4:6
  • 12/06/26LDarja Vidmanova#92WTA 125 Ilkley · QF7:6 3:6 6:7
  • 12/06/26WDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Ilkley · R166:4 6:4
  • 09/06/26WMingge Xu#450WTA 125 Ilkley · R324:6 6:4 6:1
  • 19/05/26LTeodora Kostovic#143WTA French Open · Q12:6 2:6

Emiliana Arango

Elo over the last year

Elizabeth MandlikEmiliana Arango

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. MandlikE. Arango
Hard court4–833%6–1825%
Clay0–50%6–843%
Grass4–357%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.