Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Martin vs Moro Canas 0:2: result and our tips

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Andrej MartinATP #387Elo 1603clay 1598
0:2final0:6 3:6
Alejandro Moro CanasATP #233Elo 1745clay 1738

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Moro Canas 2-0Won56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martin lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Moro Canas won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Moro CanasWon79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Moro Canas won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrej Martin21%
Alejandro Moro Canas79%

Elo: A. Martin 31% · A. Moro Canas 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Martin11%
2:1 A. Martin10%
2:1 A. Moro Canas22%
2:0 A. Moro Canas56%

First set

Andrej Martin28%
Alejandro Moro Canas72%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.537%63%40%
23.533%67%36%

Sample: 2,500 matches

Games handicap

Alejandro Moro Canas −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Andrej MartinAlejandro Moro Canas
3Aces0
1Double faults2
58%First serves in61%
48%First-serve points won72%
33%Second-serve points won52%
1/4Break points converted5/8
2/7Service games held7/8
42%Service points won64%
36%Return points won58%
41Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MartinTourA. Moro Canas
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held76%76%75%
Breaks of serve27%24%27%
Aces per service game0.290.29
Double faults per game0.220.16
Sets with a tie-break13%21%
Tie-breaks won5/1019/35
Wins in straight sets43%54%
Matches in the sample3368

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrej Martin

  • 05/10/26WLouis Wessels#435Challenger Palermo · R326:3 2:6 4:2
  • 29/09/26LSamuele Pieri#320Challenger Bari · R324:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#572Challenger Tulln · Q26:7 4:6
  • 06/09/26WJonas GundackerChallenger Tulln · Q16:4 6:2
  • 18/08/26LFilip Cristian Jianu#289Challenger Prague · R322:6 2:6
  • 17/08/26LJavier Barranco Cosano#577Challenger Prague · Q24:6 7:5 4:6
  • 16/08/26WBoris AriasChallenger Prague · Q16:1 6:2
  • 28/07/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Liberec · R321:6 4:6
  • 27/07/26WAlec Beckley#598Challenger Liberec · Q27:5 1:6 7:6
  • 26/07/26WTommy LuxaChallenger Liberec · Q16:3 6:4

Alejandro Moro Canas

Elo over the last year

Andrej MartinAlejandro Moro Canas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MartinA. Moro Canas
Hard court0–018–1260%
Clay21–1264%19–1654%
Grass0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Andrej Martin

Alejandro Moro Canas