Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Martin vs Ritschard 0:2: result and our tips

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Andrej MartinATP #358Elo 1614clay 1611
0:2final3:6 2:6
Alexander RitschardATP #483Elo 1703clay 1724

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: RitschardWon79%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ritschard won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrej Martin21%
Alexander Ritschard79%

Elo: A. Martin 34% · A. Ritschard 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Martin11%
2:1 A. Martin10%
2:1 A. Ritschard22%
2:0 A. Ritschard56%

First set

Andrej Martin28%
Alexander Ritschard72%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.554%46%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.542%58%47%
22.537%64%40%
23.533%67%36%

Sample: 2,544 matches

Games handicap

Alexander Ritschard −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Andrej MartinAlexander Ritschard
1Aces6
1Double faults4
65%First serves in67%
54%First-serve points won82%
53%Second-serve points won63%
0/2Break points converted3/3
5/8Service games held9/9
54%Service points won76%
25%Return points won46%
41Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MartinTourA. Ritschard
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held75%76%80%
Breaks of serve28%24%31%
Aces per service game0.290.32
Double faults per game0.240.33
Sets with a tie-break12%19%
Tie-breaks won6/113/6
Wins in straight sets46%56%
Matches in the sample3813

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrej Martin

Alexander Ritschard

Elo over the last year

Andrej MartinAlexander Ritschard

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MartinA. Ritschard
Hard court0–05–271%
Clay24–1463%4–267%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Andrej Martin

Alexander Ritschard