Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Martin Tiffon vs Rocha 2:0: result and our tips

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Pol Martin TiffonATP #215Elo 1711clay 1691
2:0final6:4 6:2
Francisco RochaATP #901Elo 1311clay 1318

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Martin Tiffon 2-0Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martin Tiffon won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Rocha lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 14 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 17.5Won69%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 72% → with the players' profiles 69%

    Martin Tiffon: 14 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pol Martin Tiffon83%
Francisco Rocha17%

Elo: P. Martin Tiffon 90% · F. Rocha 11%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Martin Tiffon61%
2:1 P. Martin Tiffon22%
2:1 F. Rocha8%
2:0 F. Rocha9%

First set

Pol Martin Tiffon76%
Francisco Rocha24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 49%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%84%
17.570%30%76%
18.559%41%68%
19.551%49%59%
20.544%56%52%
21.540%61%47%
22.534%66%40%

Sample: 2,073 matches

Games handicap

Pol Martin Tiffon −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Pol Martin TiffonFrancisco Rocha
5Aces0
5Double faults0
51%First serves in44%
71%First-serve points won65%
67%Second-serve points won62%
3/4Break points converted0/3
9/9Service games held6/9
69%Service points won63%
37%Return points won31%
59Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. Martin TiffonTourF. Rocha
Service points won62%62%58%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held77%76%70%
Breaks of serve26%24%18%
Aces per service game0.310.34
Double faults per game0.290.34
Sets with a tie-break12%16%
Tie-breaks won10/153/5
Wins in straight sets69%67%
Matches in the sample5614

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Francisco Rocha

Elo over the last year

Pol Martin TiffonFrancisco Rocha

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. Martin TiffonF. Rocha
Hard court12–571%3–538%
Clay19–1851%0–60%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.