Matsuda vs Honda: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Matsuda: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Matsuda: 6 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Matsuda 31% · N. Honda 69%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,239 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Matsuda | Tour | N. Honda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 7% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/4 | 3/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 82% | |
| Matches in the sample | 24 | 22 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ryuki Matsuda
- 05/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#900Challenger Wuning 3 · Q22:6 3:6
- 04/10/26WSergey BetovChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:1
- 15/09/26LMoise Kouame#194Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 3:6
- 14/09/26WTaiyo Yamanaka#826Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:4 6:4
- 13/09/26WMinh Phat NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:4 6:2
- 18/05/26LYusuke Takahashi#714Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R324:6 2:6
- 12/05/26LChristopher PapaChallenger Bengaluru 2 · R326:7 6:3 2:6
- 12/04/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#544Challenger Wuning 2 · Q16:7 4:6
- 05/04/26LEthan CookChallenger Wuning · Q13:6 3:6
- 29/03/26LYuta Kikuchi#900Challenger Miyazaki · Q13:6 2:6
Naoya Honda
- 18/10/26LKasidit Samrej#382Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:4 3:6 5:7
- 04/10/26LKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
- 28/09/26LMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Jingshan · Q16:7 2:6
- 17/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#327Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 4:6
- 16/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#128Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R322:6 7:6
- 14/09/26WJesse Flores#813Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 6:4
- 13/09/26WHao DuanChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:2 6:3
- 01/06/26LAlexander Donski#517Challenger Centurion 2 · Q26:2 3:6 4:6
- 31/05/26WAndreas ScottChallenger Centurion 2 · Q13:6 7:6 6:3
- 25/05/26LGuillaume Dalmasso#632Challenger Centurion · Q26:3 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Matsuda | N. Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–1633% | 11–1150% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.