Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Matsuoka vs Wu 0:2: result and our tips

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Hayato MatsuokaATP #242Elo 1665hard 1656
0:2final2:6 3:6
Yibing WuATP #106Elo 1881hard 1881

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Matsuoka 15 of 20, Wu 18 of 20 (tour average 71%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hayato Matsuoka18%
Yibing Wu82%

Elo: H. Matsuoka 22% · Y. Wu 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Matsuoka9%
2:1 H. Matsuoka8%
2:1 Y. Wu21%
2:0 Y. Wu62%

First set

Hayato Matsuoka24%
Yibing Wu76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.537%64%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,578 matches

Games handicap

Yibing Wu −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Hayato MatsuokaYibing Wu
3Aces6
4Double faults0
69%First serves in76%
58%First-serve points won77%
35%Second-serve points won73%
1/1Break points converted4/8
4/8Service games held8/9
51%Service points won76%
24%Return points won49%
39Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. MatsuokaTourY. Wu
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held78%76%79%
Breaks of serve26%24%24%
Aces per service game0.350.38
Double faults per game0.260.20
Sets with a tie-break14%17%
Tie-breaks won10/2412/19
Wins in straight sets67%85%
Matches in the sample7647

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hayato Matsuoka

Yibing Wu

Elo over the last year

Hayato MatsuokaYibing Wu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. MatsuokaY. Wu
Hard court43–2761%17–1161%
Clay2–167%9–469%
Grass1–233%1–517%

Head to head

They have not met yet.