Matsuoka vs Vukic: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: H. Matsuoka 33% · A. Vukic 67%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,738 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Matsuoka | Tour | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.60 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/24 | 21/36 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 75 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hayato Matsuoka
- 12/10/26WJames McCabe#259Challenger Jinan · Q26:3 6:4
- 11/10/26WQian Sun#896Challenger Jinan · Q16:2 6:7 6:4
- 23/09/26LTaro Daniel#177ATP Hangzhou · Q24:6 6:7
- 22/09/26WArthur Weber#409ATP Hangzhou · Q16:4 7:5
- 15/09/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:6 5:7 6:7
- 07/09/26LJake Delaney#357Challenger Shanghai · R326:2 6:7 6:7
- 01/09/26LEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Zhangjiagang · R323:6 4:6
- 16/08/26WAziz Dougaz#430Challenger Astana · F0:6 6:1 7:6
- 15/08/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#444Challenger Astana · SF3:6 6:3 6:4
- 14/08/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Astana · QF7:5 7:5
Aleksandar Vukic
- 06/10/26LPavel Kotov#187ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WJie Cui#420ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:6
- 29/09/26LEvan Zhu#479Challenger Jingshan · Q23:6 2:4
- 28/09/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
- 23/09/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 6:3 3:6
- 30/08/26LRei Sakamoto#137ATP US Open · R1284:6 7:6 4:6 6:3 4:6
- 20/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#135Challenger Quebec City · R164:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WKyrian Jacquet#76Challenger Quebec City · R327:6 6:1
- 13/08/26LMark Lajal#149ATP Cincinnati · Q27:6 3:6 4:6
- 12/08/26WDarwin Blanch#159ATP Cincinnati · Q16:3 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Matsuoka | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 43–2662% | 23–2152% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 2–820% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 4–450% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Hayato Matsuoka
- 11/10/26WQian Sun#896Challenger Jinan · Q16:2 6:7 6:4
- 12/10/26WJames McCabe#259Challenger Jinan · Q26:3 6:4
Aleksandar Vukic
First match in this tournament.