WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

McNally vs Starodubtseva 2:1: result and our tips

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Caty McNallyWTA #70Elo 1883hard 1823
2:1final2:6 7:6(2) 6:4
Yuliia StarodubtsevaWTA #44Elo 1777hard 1729

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: McNally 15 of 20, Starodubtseva 16 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: McNally 7 of 20, Starodubtseva 9 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Caty McNally62%
Yuliia Starodubtseva38%

Elo: C. McNally 63% · Y. Starodubtseva 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. McNally38%
2:1 C. McNally22%
2:1 Y. Starodubtseva17%
2:0 Y. Starodubtseva24%

First set

Caty McNally57%
Yuliia Starodubtseva43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,357 matches

Games handicap

Caty McNally −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Caty McNallyYuliia Starodubtseva
4Aces2
6Double faults4
93%First serves in92%
61%First-serve points won55%
14%Second-serve points won63%
6/13Break points converted7/13
8/15Service games held9/15
57%Service points won55%
45%Return points won43%
105Total points won101

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. McNallyTourY. Starodubtseva
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held65%63%65%
Breaks of serve38%37%40%
Aces per service game0.140.14
Double faults per game0.340.21
Sets with a tie-break8%9%
Tie-breaks won8/117/13
Wins in straight sets60%74%
Matches in the sample5459

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Caty McNally

Yuliia Starodubtseva

Elo over the last year

Caty McNallyYuliia Starodubtseva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. McNallyY. Starodubtseva
Hard court18–1555%16–1847%
Clay6–555%13–765%
Grass6–460%1–325%

Head to head

C. McNally 1–0 Y. Starodubtseva

  • 09/03/26Winner: Caty McNally7:5 4:6 6:4

Road through the tournament

Caty McNally

Yuliia Starodubtseva

First match in this tournament.

See also