Miguel vs Dellien 1:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Miguel 15 of 20, Dellien 17 of 20 (tour average 66%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Miguel65%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dellien lost 8 of the last 10 matches
- Total Games: Under 22.560%
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 60%
Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Miguel 12 of 20, Dellien 17 of 20 (tour average 60%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 42%
Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Miguel 10 of 20, Dellien 13 of 20 (tour average 41%); Dellien: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Miguel 58% · M. Dellien 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,407 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Match stats
| Luis Guto Miguel | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 0 |
| 1 | Double faults | 6 |
| 65% | First serves in | 32% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 33% |
| 58% | Second-serve points won | 17% |
| 3/5 | Break points converted | 0/7 |
| 4/4 | Service games held | 0/3 |
| 62% | Service points won | 22% |
| 78% | Return points won | 38% |
| 35 | Total points won | 17 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Miguel | Tour | M. Dellien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.15 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.33 | 0.34 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/6 | 3/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 65% | |
| Matches in the sample | 21 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luis Guto Miguel
- 02/10/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#242Challenger Curitiba · QF3:6 7:5 2:6
- 01/10/26WJoao Eduardo Schiessl#492Challenger Curitiba · R167:6 7:5
- 30/09/26WFacundo Mena#197Challenger Curitiba · R326:2 2:1
- 28/08/26LAidan Mayo#341Challenger Kingston 2 · SF3:6 4:6
- 27/08/26WAndrew Fenty#466Challenger Kingston 2 · QF7:5 7:5
- 26/08/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:2 6:3
- 24/08/26WTyler Zink#344Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:2
- 18/08/26LValentin Royer#105Challenger Kingston · R321:6 7:6 2:6
- 09/05/26LHernan Casanova#411Challenger Santos · SF3:6 4:6
- 08/05/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Santos · QF6:4 6:4
Murkel Dellien
- 07/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Antofagasta · R161:6 2:6
- 05/10/26WJuan Estevez#360Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 6:0
- 29/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#230Challenger Curitiba · R321:6 5:7
- 23/09/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
- 22/09/26WHernan Casanova#411Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 25/08/26LBenito Sanchez Martinez#906Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 4:6
- 18/08/26LRyan Nijboer#417Challenger Sion · R322:6 1:6
- 10/08/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#383Challenger Todi · R324:6 2:6
- 04/08/26LAdrian Andreev#610Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R321:6 6:7
- 13/05/26LEduardo Ribeiro#346Challenger Cordoba · R164:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Miguel | M. Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–350% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 7–847% | 20–2445% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.