Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Dellien 2:0: result and our tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1830clay 1838
2:0final6:1 6:2
Murkel DellienATP #407Elo 1537clay 1546

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Seyboth Wild 2-0Won67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild won 2-0 in 13 of the last 20 matches, Dellien lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 20.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 62%

    Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 15 of 20, Dellien 14 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild87%
Murkel Dellien13%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 84% · M. Dellien 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild67%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild20%
2:1 M. Dellien7%
2:0 M. Dellien7%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild80%
Murkel Dellien20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.580%20%91%
16.571%29%84%
17.561%39%76%
18.551%49%68%
19.544%56%59%
20.538%62%52%
21.533%67%47%

Sample: 1,611 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −5.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Thiago Seyboth WildMurkel Dellien
3Aces0
2Double faults5
56%First serves in69%
82%First-serve points won50%
65%Second-serve points won20%
5/8Break points converted1/1
7/8Service games held2/7
74%Service points won41%
59%Return points won26%
58Total points won30

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourM. Dellien
Service points won66%62%57%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held83%76%66%
Breaks of serve28%24%32%
Aces per service game0.520.15
Double faults per game0.200.33
Sets with a tie-break11%6%
Tie-breaks won6/133/6
Wins in straight sets79%65%
Matches in the sample5243

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Murkel Dellien

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildMurkel Dellien

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildM. Dellien
Hard court2–340%0–0
Clay32–1568%20–2347%

Head to head

T. Seyboth Wild 1–0 M. Dellien

  • 27/04/23Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild6:1 3:6 6:1

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Murkel Dellien

  • 05/10/26WJuan Estevez#360Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 6:0

See also