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Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mikrut vs Vasa: prediction and tips

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Luka MikrutATP #255Elo 1834hard 1680
-:-
Iiro VasaATP #927Elo 1379hard 1470

Our tips

Tip in 8h 8m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Luka Mikrut92%
Iiro Vasa8%

Elo: L. Mikrut 77% · I. Vasa 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Mikrut74%
2:1 L. Mikrut17%
2:1 I. Vasa4%
2:0 I. Vasa5%

First set

Luka Mikrut83%
Iiro Vasa17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%

Total games

Expected total: 20.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%88%
17.565%35%80%
18.555%45%71%
19.545%55%63%
20.538%62%55%
21.532%68%49%
22.527%73%42%

Sample: 1,469 matches

Games handicap

L. Mikrut −5.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. MikrutTourI. Vasa
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held82%76%77%
Breaks of serve25%24%25%
Aces per service game0.460.50
Double faults per game0.180.32
Sets with a tie-break11%12%
Tie-breaks won3/91/2
Wins in straight sets57%50%
Matches in the sample368

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luka Mikrut

Iiro Vasa

  • 19/07/26LGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Tampere · Q12:6 2:6
  • 21/06/26LLorenzo Angelini#534Challenger Plovdiv · Q11:6 1:3
  • 08/05/26LFranco Ribero#675Challenger Brazzaville · QF4:6 6:7
  • 07/05/26WMichael Geerts#356Challenger Brazzaville · R167:6 2:1
  • 05/05/26WCourtney John LockChallenger Brazzaville · R326:1 1:0
  • 03/02/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#242Challenger Tenerife · R326:3 3:6 5:7
  • 02/02/26WOscar Weightman#803Challenger Tenerife · Q26:1 6:4
  • 01/02/26WSzymon KielanChallenger Tenerife · Q16:2 6:1
  • 21/07/24LThomas SetodjiChallenger Tampere · Q15:7 1:6
  • 17/07/22LHarold Mayot#210Challenger Tampere · Q11:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Luka MikrutIiro Vasa

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. MikrutI. Vasa
Hard court5–645%2–167%
Clay18–675%2–340%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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