Takahashi vs Ogura: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Takahashi: 3 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Takahashi 11 of 20, Ogura 5 of 11 (tour average 37%); Takahashi: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: Y. Takahashi 52% · K. Ogura 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 6,028 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Takahashi | Tour | K. Ogura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/12 | 4/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 28 | 11 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yusuke Takahashi
- 08/11/26LKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Matsuyama · Q15:7 6:7
- 25/10/26LChristian Langmo#528Challenger Seoul · Q16:3 4:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:4 3:6 2:6
- 04/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:3 6:3
- 13/09/26LJesse DelaneyChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:7 6:7
- 01/06/26LHarold Mayot#210Challenger Centurion 2 · R326:7 7:6 0:6
- 28/05/26LEdward Winter#404Challenger Centurion · R166:4 3:6 2:6
- 26/05/26WMert Alkaya#319Challenger Centurion · R326:3 7:6
- 20/05/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#412Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R163:6 2:6
- 18/05/26WRyuki Matsuda#661Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R326:4 6:2
Kosuke Ogura
- 09/11/26LHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Matsuyama · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/11/26WBenjamin Hassan#454Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:3
- 04/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#913Challenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 3:6
- 14/09/26LAlexander Binda#455Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q24:6 6:4 4:6
- 13/09/26WDaisuke SumizawaChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 7:6
- 16/02/26LBen Jones#834Challenger Metepec · Q21:6 3:6
- 15/02/26WAlex KobeltChallenger Metepec · Q17:5 6:2
- 06/01/26LChristian Langmo#528Challenger Noumea · R324:6 4:6
- 05/01/26WEthan CookChallenger Noumea · Q17:6 7:6
- 04/01/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Noumea · Q16:0 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Takahashi | K. Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–1833% | 5–645% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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