Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Milev vs Jones 2:0: result and our tips

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Yanaki MilevATP #535Elo 1719clay 1714
2:0final7:5 6:3
Maximus JonesATP #488Elo 1513clay 1509

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 60%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Milev 13 of 20, Jones 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MilevWon70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Milev won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 42%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Milev 10 of 20, Jones 12 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yanaki Milev71%
Maximus Jones30%

Elo: Y. Milev 77% · M. Jones 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Milev47%
2:1 Y. Milev23%
2:1 M. Jones14%
2:0 M. Jones16%

First set

Yanaki Milev65%
Maximus Jones35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.535%66%34%

Sample: 3,853 matches

Games handicap

Yanaki Milev −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Yanaki MilevMaximus Jones
4Aces2
2Double faults0
61%First serves in72%
65%First-serve points won60%
68%Second-serve points won44%
4/5Break points converted2/6
9/11Service games held6/10
66%Service points won55%
45%Return points won34%
73Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. MilevTourM. Jones
Service points won59%62%61%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held73%76%75%
Breaks of serve31%24%24%
Aces per service game0.230.43
Double faults per game0.320.27
Sets with a tie-break9%19%
Tie-breaks won3/57/17
Wins in straight sets57%47%
Matches in the sample2237

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yanaki Milev

Maximus Jones

  • 18/10/26WMartino GuidottiChallenger Florence · Q16:1 6:0
  • 11/10/26LSebastian Gima#491Challenger Catania · Q12:6 6:3 3:6
  • 09/09/26LHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R163:6 6:7
  • 08/09/26WFlorent Bax#293Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:0 3:6 7:6
  • 02/09/26LIvan Ivanov#457Challenger Manacor · R320:6 4:6
  • 01/09/26WOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Manacor · Q26:3 6:4
  • 31/08/26WAlastair Gray#283Challenger Manacor · Q16:2 7:5
  • 14/07/26LIlya Ivashka#221Challenger Pozoblanco · R322:6 1:3
  • 19/05/26LSasikumar Mukund#741Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R326:7 6:7
  • 14/05/26LPhilip Sekulic#339Challenger Bengaluru 2 · QF7:6 3:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Yanaki MilevMaximus Jones

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. MilevM. Jones
Hard court0–014–2140%
Clay14–864%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yanaki Milev

Maximus Jones

See also