Moeller vs Barsukov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Moeller 53% · N. Barsukov 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,433 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Moeller | Tour | N. Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.27 | 0.48 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.36 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 27% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/16 | 5/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 11 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marvin Moeller
- 03/11/26LHugo Grenier#418Challenger Taranto · R325:7 3:6
- 16/10/26LGianluca Cadenasso#214Challenger Catania · QF5:7 6:4 6:7
- 15/10/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#323Challenger Catania · R166:4 3:6 6:2
- 13/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#328Challenger Catania · R327:6 6:3
- 09/10/26LMatej Dodig#136Challenger Braga · QF2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WRyan Nijboer#382Challenger Braga · R166:3 6:3
- 07/10/26WTiago Torres#378Challenger Braga · R326:4 6:4
- 26/09/26LLuka Mikrut#255Challenger Genoa 2 · SF3:6 6:3 6:7
- 25/09/26WDali Blanch#321Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:3 4:6 6:3
- 23/09/26WFederico Arnaboldi#468Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:4 6:4
Nikolai Barsukov
- 09/11/26WToufik Sahtali#558Challenger Monastir · Q24:6 6:1 6:0
- 08/11/26WMarcus Walters#862Challenger Monastir · Q17:6 6:2
- 09/08/26LNiklas Guttau#781Challenger Hamburg · Q17:6 5:7 3:6
- 03/08/26LJuan Bautista Torres#325Challenger Hagen · Q20:6 2:6
- 02/08/26WMika Petkovic#389Challenger Hagen · Q16:4 6:7 7:6
- 30/01/26LIlia Simakin#147Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · QF6:7 5:7
- 29/01/26WSanhui Shin#615Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · R166:1 6:3
- 27/01/26WFederico Agustin Gomez#209Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · R327:6 7:5
- 22/01/26LSoonwoo Kwon#155Challenger Phan Thiet · R161:6 1:6
- 19/01/26WLuka Mikrut#255Challenger Phan Thiet · R323:6 6:2 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Moeller | N. Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–450% | 5–363% |
| Clay | 26–1170% | 1–233% |
Head to head
M. Moeller 1–0 N. Barsukov
- 20/10/25Winner: M. Moeller7:6 2:6 6:4
Road through the tournament
Marvin Moeller
First match in this tournament.
Nikolai Barsukov
- 08/11/26WMarcus Walters#862Challenger Monastir · Q17:6 6:2
- 09/11/26WToufik Sahtali#558Challenger Monastir · Q24:6 6:1 6:0
Upcoming matches
- Dali Blanch vs Marko ToPo, · Challenger Monastir
- Nicolas Tepmahc vs Lorenzo Giustino, · Challenger Monastir
- Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Eliakim Coulibaly vs Luka Mikrut, · Challenger Monastir