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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Montgomery vs Pigato: prediction and tips

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Robin MontgomeryWTA #150Elo 1798hard 1725
-:-
Lisa PigatoWTA #102Elo 1658hard 1662

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.556%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Montgomery 14 of 20, Pigato 12 of 20 (tour average 53%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Robin Montgomery72%
Lisa Pigato29%

Elo: R. Montgomery 59% · L. Pigato 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Montgomery48%
2:1 R. Montgomery20%
2:1 L. Pigato14%
2:0 L. Pigato18%

First set

Robin Montgomery64%
Lisa Pigato36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%70%
18.565%35%61%
19.556%44%53%
20.549%51%46%
21.542%58%41%
22.538%62%36%
23.534%66%33%

Sample: 1,883 matches

Games handicap

R. Montgomery −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. MontgomeryTourL. Pigato
Service points won60%56%56%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held71%63%64%
Breaks of serve35%37%40%
Aces per service game0.420.11
Double faults per game0.380.35
Sets with a tie-break11%7%
Tie-breaks won6/83/5
Wins in straight sets63%50%
Matches in the sample3031

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Robin Montgomery

  • 01/10/26LKatie Volynets#81WTA Beijing · R1285:7 5:7
  • 29/09/26WAnna-Lena Friedsam#251WTA Beijing · Q26:3 6:2
  • 28/09/26WAran Teixido Garcia#351WTA Beijing · Q16:1 6:3
  • 22/09/26LSohyun Park#295WTA Seoul · R326:7 3:6
  • 01/09/26LMaria Sakkari#30WTA US Open · R1286:2 5:7 2:6
  • 27/08/26WCarson Branstine#675WTA US Open · Q32:6 6:2 6:2
  • 26/08/26WJeline Vandromme#124WTA US Open · Q27:5 6:3
  • 24/08/26WKayla Cross#189WTA US Open · Q16:1 6:1
  • 13/08/26LLilli Tagger#53WTA Cincinnati · Q23:6 1:6
  • 11/08/26WJulia Grabher#122WTA Cincinnati · Q14:6 7:5 6:3

Lisa Pigato

  • 14/10/26LLucie Havlickova#184WTA 125 Rovereto · R160:6 1:6
  • 12/10/26WJulia Avdeeva#197WTA 125 Rovereto · R326:4 6:4
  • 20/09/26WGabriela Knutson#164WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · F6:4 6:2
  • 19/09/26WJeline Vandromme#124WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · SF6:3 7:5
  • 18/09/26WSusan Bandecchi#149WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF6:4 1:6 6:4
  • 16/09/26WKajsa Rinaldo Persson#221WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:2 2:6 6:4
  • 14/09/26WSana GarakaniWTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:0 6:1
  • 24/08/26LLinda Klimovičová#264WTA US Open · Q13:6 3:6
  • 09/07/26LAurora Zantedeschi#272WTA 125 Contrexeville · R162:6 5:5
  • 07/07/26WAngela Fita Boluda#218WTA 125 Contrexeville · R326:1 1:6 7:6

Elo over the last year

Robin MontgomeryLisa Pigato

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. MontgomeryL. Pigato
Hard court6–460%6–367%
Clay4–640%12–957%
Grass9–190%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.