Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets
Morais vs Caniato 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Diogo Morais4%
Carlo Alberto Caniato96%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Morais2%
2:1 D. Morais3%
2:1 C. Caniato11%
2:0 C. Caniato85%
First set
Diogo Morais8%
Carlo Alberto Caniato92%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 59%market (no margin): 47%
The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 18.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 89% | 11% | 98% |
| 14.5 | 80% | 20% | 96% |
| 15.5 | 66% | 35% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 53% | 47% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 41% | 59% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 34% | 66% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 28% | 73% | 59% |
Sample: 1,115 matches
Games handicap
Carlo Alberto Caniato −7.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes12%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 17.5in · 15 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Diogo Morais | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 4 |
| — | Double faults | — |
| 66% | First serves in | 71% |
| 51% | First-serve points won | 96% |
| 42% | Second-serve points won | 78% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 3/8 | Service games held | 7/7 |
| 48% | Service points won | 90% |
| 10% | Return points won | 52% |
| 30 | Total points won | 57 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Morais | Tour | C. Caniato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | — | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | — | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | — | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | — | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | — | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | — | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | — | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | — | 6/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 79% | |
| Matches in the sample | — | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Diogo Morais
- 25/09/22LDuje Ajdukovic#341Challenger Lisbon · Q11:6 1:6
- 26/09/21LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#443Challenger Lisbon · Q10:6 2:6
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 15/10/26LMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Catania · R164:6 6:3 2:6
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#496Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Palermo · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#378Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LLuka Mikrut#245Challenger Genoa 2 · F4:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFrancesco Forti#329Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26WJay Clarke#238Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:0 2:0
- 24/09/26WTom Gentzsch#161Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:3 5:7 7:5
- 22/09/26WLorenzo BertoChallenger Genoa 2 · R326:1 7:5
- 20/09/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#232Challenger Biella · F7:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Diogo MoraisCarlo Alberto Caniato
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Morais | C. Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 0–30% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 24–1759% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.