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WTA 125 CourmayeurQualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Morderger vs Senica 1:2: result and our tips

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Tayisiya MordergerElo 1259hard 1314
1:2finalrebuilt6:7(4) 6:0 6:7(8)
Alja SenicaWTA #644Elo 1314hard 1375

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tayisiya Morderger37%
Alja Senica63%

Elo: T. Morderger 41% · A. Senica 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Morderger22%
2:1 T. Morderger16%
2:1 A. Senica21%
2:0 A. Senica41%

First set

Tayisiya Morderger39%
Alja Senica61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.568%32%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.552%48%46%
21.547%53%41%
22.542%58%36%
23.538%63%33%

Sample: 2,353 matches

Games handicap

A. Senica −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Tayisiya MordergerAlja Senica
5Aces11
5Double faults9
61%First serves in55%
64%First-serve points won63%
47%Second-serve points won42%
7/11Break points converted4/10
11/15Service games held8/15
57%Service points won53%
47%Return points won43%
119Total points won109

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. MordergerTourA. Senica
Service points won—56%52%
Return points won—44%45%
Service games held—63%53%
Breaks of serve—37%36%
Aces per service game—0.16
Double faults per game—0.32
Sets with a tie-break—0%
Tie-breaks won—0/0
Wins in straight sets——
Matches in the sample—3

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tayisiya Morderger

  • 20/09/26LKaterina Tsygourova#417WTA 125 Tolentino · Q13:6 3:6
  • 05/07/26LYelyzaveta Kotliar#353WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q16:3 3:6 0:6
  • 19/10/25LSofia Shapatava#528WTA 125 Rovereto · QF5:7 5:7
  • 28/09/25LTeodora Kostovic#143WTA 125 Rende · Q13:6 1:6
  • 15/09/25LAnastasia Tikhonova#313WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · Q22:6 4:6
  • 30/07/23LElvina Kalieva#111WTA Prague · Q22:6 3:6
  • 29/07/23WKatarina Zavatska#229WTA Prague · Q16:4 3:6 6:4
  • 30/04/23LUlrikke EikeriWTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q12:6 7:6 4:6
  • 14/05/22LEkaterina MakarovaWTA Strasbourg · Q12:6 2:6
  • 19/04/14LTsvetana PironkovaWTA Stuttgart · Q16:7 1:6

Alja Senica

  • 11/10/26LLea Boskovic#311WTA 125 Rovereto · Q11:6 1:6
  • 20/09/26LEnola Chiesa#535WTA 125 Tolentino · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26LFrancesca Jones#98WTA 125 Ljubljana · R327:5 3:6 3:6
  • 08/09/25LTeodora Kostovic#143WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q16:7 2:6
  • 09/09/24LAngela Fita Boluda#218WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q12:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Tayisiya MordergerAlja Senica

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. MordergerA. Senica
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay0–20%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.