ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mpetshi Perricard vs Bertola 1:2: result and our tips

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Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardATP #145Elo 1789hard 1737
1:2final6:7(4) 7:6(2) 5:7
Remy BertolaATP #219Elo 1687hard 1648

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 22.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 60%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Mpetshi Perricard 11 of 20, Bertola 12 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 43%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Mpetshi Perricard 10 of 20, Bertola 9 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard57%
Remy Bertola43%

Elo: G. Mpetshi Perricard 62% · R. Bertola 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Mpetshi Perricard36%
2:1 G. Mpetshi Perricard21%
2:1 R. Bertola19%
2:0 R. Bertola24%

First set

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard55%
Remy Bertola45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.573%27%60%
21.565%35%54%
22.560%40%46%
23.552%48%39%
24.545%55%38%
25.543%57%35%
26.540%61%30%

Sample: 5,757 matches

Games handicap

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes53%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 23.5in · 38 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardRemy Bertola
30Aces11
3Double faults5
70%First serves in69%
82%First-serve points won80%
55%Second-serve points won75%
0/0Break points converted1/5
17/18Service games held18/18
74%Service points won78%
22%Return points won26%
104Total points won109

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. Mpetshi PerricardTourR. Bertola
Service points won68%62%63%
Return points won29%38%38%
Service games held85%76%77%
Breaks of serve11%24%24%
Aces per service game1.100.44
Double faults per game0.240.33
Sets with a tie-break35%18%
Tie-breaks won17/3614/27
Wins in straight sets47%62%
Matches in the sample4065

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Remy Bertola

Elo over the last year

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardRemy Bertola

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. Mpetshi PerricardR. Bertola
Hard court8–1831%17–1849%
Clay3–443%10–1050%
Grass4–357%7–370%

Head to head

They have not met yet.