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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Munk Mesa vs McCormick 0:2: result and our tips

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Bernardo Munk MesaElo 1436clay 1472
0:2final5:7 3:6
Tristan McCormickATP #642Elo 1352clay 1383

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Bernardo Munk Mesa55%
Tristan McCormick45%

Elo: B. Munk Mesa 63% · T. McCormick 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Munk Mesa35%
2:1 B. Munk Mesa20%
2:1 T. McCormick19%
2:0 T. McCormick27%

First set

Bernardo Munk Mesa54%
Tristan McCormick46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%68%
19.566%34%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.546%54%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,636 matches

Games handicap

B. Munk Mesa −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Bernardo Munk MesaTristan McCormick
5Aces3
3Double faults4
65%First serves in58%
66%First-serve points won66%
46%Second-serve points won59%
1/3Break points converted3/13
7/10Service games held10/11
59%Service points won63%
37%Return points won41%
65Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. Munk MesaTourT. McCormick
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held73%76%77%
Breaks of serve21%24%19%
Aces per service game0.320.54
Double faults per game0.300.30
Sets with a tie-break5%25%
Tie-breaks won1/15/7
Wins in straight sets33%75%
Matches in the sample812

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Bernardo Munk Mesa

  • 18/10/26LMateus Alves#410Challenger Cali · Q14:6 3:6
  • 12/10/26LHugo Dellien#119Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R323:6 5:7
  • 06/10/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#186Challenger Antofagasta · R322:6 2:6
  • 05/10/26WHernan Casanova#435Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:1 2:6 6:4
  • 04/10/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:4 6:3
  • 19/07/26LDominik Palan#603Challenger Segovia · Q13:6 4:6
  • 13/07/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Pozoblanco · Q26:3 4:6 2:6
  • 12/07/26WJohn Echeverria#525Challenger Pozoblanco · Q13:6 7:6 6:4
  • 21/07/25LAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Segovia · Q26:4 1:6 4:6
  • 20/07/25WAlex Martinez#383Challenger Segovia · Q17:5 3:2

Tristan McCormick

  • 18/10/26LJose Pereira#738Challenger Cali · Q11:6 4:6
  • 09/07/26LFacundo Mena#193Challenger Bogota · R167:5 4:6 4:6
  • 07/07/26WPedro Sakamoto#487Challenger Bogota · R327:6
  • 16/02/26LStefan Kozlov#284Challenger Metepec · R323:6 7:6 4:6
  • 10/02/26LRobert Strombachs#349Challenger Baton Rouge · R326:7 4:6
  • 02/02/26LJoshua Sheehy#765Challenger Cleveland · Q27:6 2:6 2:6
  • 01/02/26WDragos Nicolae Cazacu#714Challenger Cleveland · Q16:1 7:6
  • 26/11/25LJuan Pablo Ficovich#366Challenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R161:6 6:3 3:6
  • 24/11/25WSalvador PriceChallenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R326:4 6:2
  • 18/11/25LLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#334Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Bernardo Munk MesaTristan McCormick

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. Munk MesaT. McCormick
Hard court1–233%2–433%
Clay2–340%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.