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WTA 125 CourmayeurQualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Nagy vs Yesypchuk 2:1: result and our tips

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Adrienn NagyWTA #434Elo 1491hard 1495
2:1final6:7(2) 7:5 6:4
Daria YesypchukWTA #466Elo 1556hard 1528

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adrienn Nagy54%
Daria Yesypchuk46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Nagy36%
2:1 A. Nagy19%
2:1 D. Yesypchuk20%
2:0 D. Yesypchuk26%

First set

Adrienn Nagy55%
Daria Yesypchuk45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.560%40%53%
20.554%46%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,372 matches

Games handicap

A. Nagy −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 35 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Adrienn NagyDaria Yesypchuk
7Aces9
6Double faults3
59%First serves in60%
66%First-serve points won74%
60%Second-serve points won46%
5/6Break points converted3/7
14/17Service games held12/17
63%Service points won62%
38%Return points won37%
114Total points won110

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. NagyTourD. Yesypchuk
Service points won52%56%54%
Return points won46%44%47%
Service games held57%63%58%
Breaks of serve43%37%44%
Aces per service game0.140.18
Double faults per game0.400.33
Sets with a tie-break11%0%
Tie-breaks won0/10/0
Wins in straight sets50%50%
Matches in the sample43

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adrienn Nagy

  • 13/10/26LSelena Janicijevic#310WTA 125 Lisbon · R323:6 4:6
  • 12/10/26WIva Primorac Pavicic#403WTA 125 Lisbon · Q26:3 6:3
  • 11/10/26WAngelina Voloshchuk#326WTA 125 Lisbon · Q16:3 6:7 6:3
  • 06/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q12:6 1:6

Daria Yesypchuk

  • 13/10/26LCarole Monnet#243WTA 125 Mallorca · R322:6 2:6
  • 12/10/26WLidia Encheva#324WTA 125 Mallorca · Q23:6 6:4 6:4
  • 11/10/26WMarie Vogt#453WTA 125 Mallorca · Q16:1 6:1

Elo over the last year

Adrienn NagyDaria Yesypchuk

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. NagyD. Yesypchuk
Clay2–250%2–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.