Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Nedic vs Piraino 2:0: result and our tips

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Andrej NedicATP #237Elo 1688clay 1682
2:0final6:2 6:2
Gabriele PirainoATP #392Elo 1570clay 1561

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 71%

Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Nedic 17 of 20, Piraino 15 of 20 (tour average 70%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 42%

Piraino: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrej Nedic65%
Gabriele Piraino35%

Elo: A. Nedic 67% · G. Piraino 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Nedic42%
2:1 A. Nedic23%
2:1 G. Piraino15%
2:0 G. Piraino20%

First set

Andrej Nedic61%
Gabriele Piraino39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.545%55%46%
22.540%60%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,601 matches

Games handicap

Andrej Nedic −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Andrej NedicGabriele Piraino
—Aces—
4Double faults3
63%First serves in66%
75%First-serve points won50%
38%Second-serve points won43%
5/13Break points converted1/6
7/8Service games held3/8
61%Service points won48%
53%Return points won39%
67Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. NedicTourG. Piraino
Service points won59%62%58%
Return points won43%38%41%
Service games held71%76%69%
Breaks of serve35%24%31%
Aces per service game0.180.24
Double faults per game0.210.30
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won8/135/8
Wins in straight sets72%71%
Matches in the sample4936

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrej Nedic

Gabriele Piraino

Elo over the last year

Andrej NedicGabriele Piraino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. NedicG. Piraino
Hard court0–06–650%
Clay29–2059%11–1346%

Head to head

They have not met yet.