Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Nedic vs Romano 2:0: result and our tips

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Andrej NedicATP #244Elo 1700clay 1698
2:0final7:6(2) 6:3
Filippo RomanoATP #306Elo 1590clay 1511

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 70%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Nedic 15 of 20, Romano 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: NedicWon63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Romano lost 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Romano: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Set Betting: Nedic 2-0Won41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Nedic won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Romano lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrej Nedic62%
Filippo Romano38%

Elo: A. Nedic 75% · F. Romano 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Nedic40%
2:1 A. Nedic22%
2:1 F. Romano16%
2:0 F. Romano21%

First set

Andrej Nedic60%
Filippo Romano40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%68%
19.562%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,783 matches

Games handicap

Andrej Nedic −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Andrej NedicFilippo Romano
2Aces5
2Double faults0
55%First serves in63%
74%First-serve points won72%
62%Second-serve points won48%
2/8Break points converted1/5
10/11Service games held8/10
68%Service points won63%
37%Return points won32%
79Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. NedicTourF. Romano
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won43%38%38%
Service games held71%76%78%
Breaks of serve36%24%23%
Aces per service game0.180.46
Double faults per game0.210.22
Sets with a tie-break11%17%
Tie-breaks won7/1211/20
Wins in straight sets71%59%
Matches in the sample4751

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrej Nedic

Filippo Romano

  • 29/09/26LHarry Wendelken#182Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 1:6
  • 28/09/26WRyan Peniston#541Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q26:2 6:3
  • 27/09/26WKenny De Schepper#966Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
  • 21/09/26LRaul Brancaccio#231Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:7 2:6
  • 14/09/26LPetr Brunclik#359Challenger Biella · R326:7 6:7
  • 07/09/26LDuje Ajdukovic#353Challenger Genoa · R322:6 5:7
  • 12/08/26LJuan Bautista Torres#279Challenger Todi · R162:6 6:2 6:7
  • 10/08/26WMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Todi · R326:2 6:2
  • 02/08/26LDominik Recek#819Challenger Hagen · Q16:7 6:7
  • 28/07/26LOtto Virtanen#107Challenger San Marino · R325:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Andrej NedicFilippo Romano

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. NedicF. Romano
Hard court0–011–473%
Clay28–1960%9–1341%
Grass0–09–564%

Head to head

They have not met yet.