WTA 125 MallorcaQualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Nguyen Tan vs Roura Llaverias 2:1: result and our tips

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Lucie Nguyen TanWTA #406Elo 1558clay 1561
2:1final6:3 4:6 6:4
Ruth Roura LlaveriasWTA #541Elo 1424clay 1422

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Roura Llaverias: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucie Nguyen Tan40%
Ruth Roura Llaverias61%

Elo: L. Nguyen Tan 69% · R. Roura Llaverias 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Nguyen Tan26%
2:1 L. Nguyen Tan17%
2:1 R. Roura Llaverias22%
2:0 R. Roura Llaverias35%

First set

Lucie Nguyen Tan47%
Ruth Roura Llaverias53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 48%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%45%
21.549%51%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,506 matches

Games handicap

Ruth Roura Llaverias −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Lucie Nguyen TanRuth Roura Llaverias
2Aces0
2Double faults2
87%First serves in94%
52%First-serve points won52%
46%Second-serve points won40%
8/17Break points converted7/14
8/15Service games held6/14
51%Service points won51%
49%Return points won49%
92Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Nguyen TanTourR. Roura Llaverias
Service points won54%56%54%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held60%63%59%
Breaks of serve44%37%35%
Aces per service game0.140.18
Double faults per game0.280.27
Sets with a tie-break9%10%
Tie-breaks won2/21/1
Wins in straight sets57%100%
Matches in the sample105

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucie Nguyen Tan

  • 11/10/26WMireia Sagrista BermejoWTA 125 Mallorca · Q16:1 6:4
  • 08/09/26LAlina Granwehr#352WTA 125 Montreux · R323:6 7:5 4:6
  • 07/09/26WDalila Spiteri#377WTA 125 Montreux · Q24:6 6:4 6:2
  • 06/09/26WAmandine Monnot#326WTA 125 Montreux · Q11:6 6:3 7:6
  • 06/07/26LAlicia Herrero Linana#222WTA 125 Contrexeville · Q21:6 1:6
  • 05/07/26WYana MordergerWTA 125 Contrexeville · Q16:0 6:2
  • 29/04/26LMoyuka Uchijima#121WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R165:7 2:6
  • 28/04/26WAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Saint-Malo · R327:6 6:3
  • 27/04/26WYasmine Kabbaj#255WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q27:5 6:1
  • 26/04/26WManon Leonard#328WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q17:5

Ruth Roura Llaverias

Elo over the last year

Lucie Nguyen TanRuth Roura Llaverias

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Nguyen TanR. Roura Llaverias
Clay7–370%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucie Nguyen Tan

Ruth Roura Llaverias