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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Nijboer vs Kestelboim 1:0: result and our tips

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Ryan NijboerATP #382Elo 1599clay 1601
1:0retired7:6(6) 1:0
Mariano KestelboimElo 1552clay 1560

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Nijboer 2-060%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Nijboer won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Kestelboim lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 14 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ryan Nijboer82%
Mariano Kestelboim18%

Elo: R. Nijboer 56% · M. Kestelboim 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Nijboer60%
2:1 R. Nijboer22%
2:1 M. Kestelboim9%
2:0 M. Kestelboim9%

First set

Ryan Nijboer75%
Mariano Kestelboim25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%84%
17.566%34%76%
18.556%44%68%
19.548%52%59%
20.543%57%52%
21.538%63%47%
22.533%67%40%

Sample: 2,190 matches

Games handicap

R. Nijboer −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Ryan NijboerMariano Kestelboim
2Aces1
1Double faults3
78%First serves in51%
77%First-serve points won82%
33%Second-serve points won48%
0/2Break points converted0/2
7/7Service games held6/6
67%Service points won65%
35%Return points won33%
52Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. NijboerTourM. Kestelboim
Service points won62%62%58%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held78%76%67%
Breaks of serve30%24%29%
Aces per service game0.360.22
Double faults per game0.250.27
Sets with a tie-break9%14%
Tie-breaks won2/62/5
Wins in straight sets61%33%
Matches in the sample3016

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ryan Nijboer

  • 12/10/26LBenjamin Hassan#465Challenger Maia · Q27:5 6:7 5:7
  • 11/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#612Challenger Maia · Q16:3 6:2
  • 08/10/26LMarvin Moeller#225Challenger Braga · R163:6 3:6
  • 07/10/26WMackenzie McDonald#238Challenger Braga · R326:1 4:6 6:3
  • 05/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#465Challenger Braga · Q26:3 6:3
  • 04/10/26WNico Hipfl#744Challenger Braga · Q15:7 7:5 6:1
  • 22/09/26LFrancesco Forti#323Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 21/09/26LAlejandro Juan Mano#595Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:4 3:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WIannis Miletich#882Challenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:3
  • 19/08/26LTommaso Compagnucci#371Challenger Sion · R163:6 2:6

Mariano Kestelboim

  • 21/09/26LFermin Tenti#862Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:7
  • 07/06/26LIliyan Radulov#574Challenger Lyon · Q13:6 6:2 3:6
  • 01/06/26WSumit Nagal#269Challenger Bad Rappenau · Q16:2 1:6 7:6
  • 14/04/26LMatias Soto#260Challenger Santa Cruz · R325:7 1:6
  • 05/04/26LNatan Rodrigues#930Challenger Campinas · Q12:6
  • 18/03/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#201Challenger Asuncion · R320:6 4:6
  • 17/02/26LJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Tigre · R324:6 3:6
  • 27/01/26LFacundo Mena#193Challenger Concepcion · Q24:6 4:6
  • 26/01/26WMateus Alves#410Challenger Concepcion · Q16:4 4:6 6:2
  • 10/11/25LAndrea Collarini#472Challenger Montevideo · Q26:7 1:6

Elo over the last year

Ryan NijboerMariano Kestelboim

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. NijboerM. Kestelboim
Hard court0–10%0–0
Clay18–1162%6–1038%

Head to head

They have not met yet.