Norrie vs Svrcina 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Norrie: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Where the number comes from: market alone 49% → with the players' profiles 47%
Norrie: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: C. Norrie 70% · D. Svrcina 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 34% |
Sample: 5,430 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Cameron Norrie | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double faults | 6 |
| 72% | First serves in | 64% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 4/11 | Break points converted | 5/9 |
| 9/14 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 56% | Service points won | 57% |
| 43% | Return points won | 44% |
| 87 | Total points won | 92 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Norrie | Tour | D. Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 26% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/34 | 12/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Cameron Norrie
- 01/10/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP Beijing · R326:7 4:6
- 30/08/26LLuca Van Assche#45ATP US Open · R1287:6 2:6 2:6 3:6
- 16/08/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP Cincinnati · R646:3 3:6 3:6
- 13/08/26WDino Prizmic#97ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 6:1 6:4
- 09/08/26LArthur Fils#11ATP Montreal · R162:6 6:7
- 06/08/26WAlex de Minaur#9ATP Montreal · R325:7 7:6 6:1
- 05/08/26WIgnacio Buse#36ATP Montreal · R646:3 6:3
- 04/08/26WCamilo Ugo Carabelli#77ATP Montreal · R1287:6 6:4
- 01/08/26LDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Los Cabos · SF3:6 7:5 4:6
- 31/07/26WBernard Tomic#185ATP Los Cabos · QF6:1 6:0
Dalibor Svrcina
- 06/10/26WYoshihito Nishioka#218ATP Shanghai · Q25:2
- 05/10/26WBilly Harris#241ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:5
- 30/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 3:6 1:6
- 24/09/26LRinky Hijikata#85ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 4:6
- 23/09/26WRio Noguchi#221ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 6:1
- 22/09/26WPhilip Sekulic#363ATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:2
- 03/09/26LLuciano Darderi#21ATP US Open · R643:6 7:6 4:6 4:6
- 31/08/26WValentin Royer#105ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:3 5:7 5:7 6:2
- 28/08/26WMackenzie McDonald#169ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:2 7:5
- 26/08/26WAlexis Galarneau#184ATP US Open · Q27:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Norrie | D. Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1559% | 16–1552% |
| Clay | 5–645% | 15–1060% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Cameron Norrie
First match in this tournament.
Dalibor Svrcina
- 05/10/26WBilly Harris#241ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:5
- 06/10/26WYoshihito Nishioka#218ATP Shanghai · Q25:2