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WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Okamura vs Ishii 0:2: result and our tips

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Kyoka OkamuraWTA #241Elo 1675hard 1673
0:2final4:6 3:6
Sayaka IshiiWTA #556Elo 1441hard 1502

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Okamura 16 of 20, Ishii 4 of 5 (tour average 62%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: OkamuraLost66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ishii lost 5 of the last 5 matches; Okamura won 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Okamura 17 of 20, Ishii 4 of 5 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Okamura 10 of 20, Ishii 3 of 5 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kyoka Okamura69%
Sayaka Ishii31%

Elo: K. Okamura 73% · S. Ishii 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Okamura47%
2:1 K. Okamura21%
2:1 S. Ishii15%
2:0 S. Ishii18%

First set

Kyoka Okamura65%
Sayaka Ishii35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,998 matches

Games handicap

K. Okamura −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kyoka OkamuraSayaka Ishii
1Aces0
3Double faults2
75%First serves in79%
49%First-serve points won77%
56%Second-serve points won78%
1/1Break points converted4/10
6/10Service games held8/9
51%Service points won77%
23%Return points won49%
46Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. OkamuraTourS. Ishii
Service points won58%56%53%
Return points won44%44%43%
Service games held66%63%54%
Breaks of serve35%37%32%
Aces per service game0.210.18
Double faults per game0.260.50
Sets with a tie-break18%0%
Tie-breaks won5/90/0
Wins in straight sets67%0%
Matches in the sample226

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kyoka Okamura

Sayaka Ishii

  • 18/10/26LMary Stoiana#113WTA Osaka · Q24:6 5:7
  • 17/10/26WElina Avanesyan#145WTA Osaka · Q16:3 0:0
  • 08/07/26LKayla Cross#189WTA 125 Newport · R322:6 3:6
  • 23/06/26LKaitlin Quevedo#86WTA Wimbledon · Q10:6 3:6
  • 07/06/26LVendula Valdmannova#169WTA 125 Ilkley · Q13:6 1:6
  • 30/05/26LVendula Valdmannova#169WTA 125 Birmingham · Q16:3 2:6 4:6
  • 11/07/25LTatjana Maria#70WTA 125 Newport · QF3:6 1:6
  • 09/07/25WDestanee Aiava#750WTA 125 Newport · R163:6 6:3 6:3
  • 07/07/25WHanna Chang#297WTA 125 Newport · R326:1 4:6 7:5
  • 24/06/25LKathinka Von Deichmann#338WTA Wimbledon · Q15:7 1:6

Elo over the last year

Kyoka OkamuraSayaka Ishii

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. OkamuraS. Ishii
Hard court12–1055%1–150%
Grass0–00–40%

Head to head

They have not met yet.