Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Olivieri vs Ratti 2:1: result and our tips

·

Genaro Alberto OlivieriATP #287Elo 1642clay 1642
2:1final6:4 4:6 6:2
Lucio RattiATP #389Elo 1504clay 1503

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 59%

Ratti: 8 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 41%

Olivieri: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Genaro Alberto Olivieri63%
Lucio Ratti37%

Elo: G. Olivieri 69% · L. Ratti 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Olivieri41%
2:1 G. Olivieri23%
2:1 L. Ratti16%
2:0 L. Ratti21%

First set

Genaro Alberto Olivieri60%
Lucio Ratti40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,733 matches

Games handicap

Genaro Alberto Olivieri −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Genaro Alberto OlivieriLucio Ratti
3Aces2
2Double faults6
61%First serves in66%
70%First-serve points won59%
50%Second-serve points won44%
5/11Break points converted3/3
11/14Service games held9/14
62%Service points won54%
46%Return points won38%
102Total points won90

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. OlivieriTourL. Ratti
Service points won57%62%61%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held65%76%72%
Breaks of serve30%24%33%
Aces per service game0.100.23
Double faults per game0.110.29
Sets with a tie-break12%11%
Tie-breaks won9/164/10
Wins in straight sets52%65%
Matches in the sample5739

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Lucio Ratti

  • 12/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q24:6 6:3 6:0
  • 05/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#561Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 6:4 2:6
  • 04/10/26WJoao Victor Couto Loureiro#959Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26LFederico Coria#843Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R327:6 3:6 5:7
  • 06/09/26LLukas Pokorny#565Challenger Tulln · Q11:6 7:5 4:6
  • 19/08/26LDominic Stricker#263Challenger Sion · R164:6 4:6
  • 18/08/26WOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Sion · R326:2 4:6 7:5
  • 12/08/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#444Challenger Astana · R164:6 5:7
  • 10/08/26WTai Leonard Sach#510Challenger Astana · R326:3 6:3
  • 03/08/26LMax Basing#248Challenger Istanbul 2 · R326:7 1:6

Elo over the last year

Genaro Alberto OlivieriLucio Ratti

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. OlivieriL. Ratti
Hard court1–233%3–350%
Clay24–2945%17–1652%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

First match in this tournament.

Lucio Ratti