Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Pucinelli de Almeida vs Olivieri 2:0: result and our tips

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Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaATP #255Elo 1757clay 1769
2:0final6:3 6:3
Genaro Alberto OlivieriATP #287Elo 1652clay 1651

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Pucinelli de AlmeidaWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pucinelli de Almeida won the first set in 3 of their 4 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.5Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 72% → with the players' profiles 63%

    Pucinelli de Almeida: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won37%

Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 37%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Pucinelli de Almeida 5 of 20, Olivieri 13 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri29%

Elo: M. Pucinelli de Almeida 66% · G. Olivieri 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Pucinelli de Almeida48%
2:1 M. Pucinelli de Almeida23%
2:1 G. Olivieri14%
2:0 G. Olivieri16%

First set

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida65%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,712 matches

Games handicap

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaGenaro Alberto Olivieri
0Aces1
1Double faults1
67%First serves in78%
90%First-serve points won50%
60%Second-serve points won82%
3/5Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
80%Service points won57%
43%Return points won20%
57Total points won37

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaTourG. Olivieri
Service points won61%62%57%
Return points won44%38%40%
Service games held74%76%65%
Breaks of serve35%24%30%
Aces per service game0.190.09
Double faults per game0.250.11
Sets with a tie-break10%12%
Tie-breaks won5/139/16
Wins in straight sets61%52%
Matches in the sample5356

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Elo over the last year

Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaGenaro Alberto Olivieri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaG. Olivieri
Hard court3–443%1–233%
Clay30–1665%24–2846%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

M. Pucinelli de Almeida 2–2 G. Olivieri

  • 20/06/22Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida6:3 6:2
  • 07/03/22Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida6:3 3:6 6:3
  • 09/12/21Winner: Genaro Alberto Olivieri1:6 5:7
  • 23/11/21Winner: Genaro Alberto Olivieri6:2 2:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Genaro Alberto Olivieri