Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pacheco Mendez vs Rodriguez Taverna 1:2: result and our tips

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Rodrigo Pacheco MendezATP #263Elo 1725clay 1653
1:2final6:7(6) 7:6(6) 6:7(4)
Santiago Rodriguez TavernaATP #443Elo 1576clay 1583

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Lost58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Rodriguez Taverna: 6 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rodriguez Taverna: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: NoLost71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rodriguez Taverna: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 38%

Rodriguez Taverna: 6 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez73%
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna27%

Elo: R. Pacheco Mendez 60% · S. Rodriguez Taverna 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Pacheco Mendez50%
2:1 R. Pacheco Mendez23%
2:1 S. Rodriguez Taverna13%
2:0 S. Rodriguez Taverna15%

First set

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez67%
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.550%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.536%65%34%

Sample: 3,425 matches

Games handicap

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 39 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Rodrigo Pacheco MendezSantiago Rodriguez Taverna
3Aces16
6Double faults8
63%First serves in52%
69%First-serve points won84%
60%Second-serve points won54%
3/7Break points converted3/17
15/18Service games held15/18
65%Service points won70%
30%Return points won35%
126Total points won133

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. Pacheco MendezTourS. Rodriguez Taverna
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held81%76%73%
Breaks of serve23%24%24%
Aces per service game0.430.35
Double faults per game0.260.22
Sets with a tie-break14%18%
Tie-breaks won4/1611/19
Wins in straight sets67%43%
Matches in the sample5144

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

  • 14/10/26LHugo Dellien#118Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R163:6 5:7
  • 12/10/26WJuan Estevez#350Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 4:6 6:3
  • 20/09/26LIlia Simakin#143Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · F7:6 4:6 3:6
  • 19/09/26WMoise Kouame#194Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · SF2:6 6:3 6:4
  • 18/09/26WPhilip Sekulic#339Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF6:4 6:4
  • 16/09/26WArthur Weber#403Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:4 6:2
  • 14/09/26WSergio Callejon Hernando#479Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:3 7:5
  • 08/09/26LMax Purcell#636Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R323:6 4:6
  • 28/08/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Kingston 2 · SF3:6 6:3 4:6
  • 27/08/26WMiguel Tobon#466Challenger Kingston 2 · QF6:2 6:4

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

  • 19/10/26WSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q26:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26WFelipe de DiosChallenger Cali · Q16:1 6:1
  • 12/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#509Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q21:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WNicolas CiancagliniChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 6:1
  • 22/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#282Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 1:6
  • 21/09/26WFermin Tenti#865Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WNicolas BrunaChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:2
  • 14/09/26LRobert Strombachs#346Challenger Szczecin · Q20:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WOscar Jose Gutierrez#701Challenger Szczecin · Q16:2 7:6
  • 10/09/26LHenrique Rocha#105Challenger Seville · R164:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Rodrigo Pacheco MendezSantiago Rodriguez Taverna

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. Pacheco MendezS. Rodriguez Taverna
Hard court19–1458%0–0
Clay8–1044%21–2348%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

First match in this tournament.

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna