Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Palan vs Pankin 2:0: result and our tips

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Dominik PalanATP #620Elo 1447hard 1456
2:0final6:4 6:2
Semen PankinATP #430Elo 1499hard 1496

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: PankinLost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Palan lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dominik Palan39%
Semen Pankin61%

Elo: D. Palan 44% · S. Pankin 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Palan23%
2:1 D. Palan16%
2:1 S. Pankin22%
2:0 S. Pankin39%

First set

Dominik Palan42%
Semen Pankin58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,823 matches

Games handicap

Semen Pankin −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Dominik PalanSemen Pankin
12Aces4
2Double faults2
73%First serves in57%
97%First-serve points won79%
73%Second-serve points won33%
3/4Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
90%Service points won59%
41%Return points won10%
56Total points won33

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. PalanTourS. Pankin
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won34%38%37%
Service games held80%76%76%
Breaks of serve16%24%22%
Aces per service game0.650.45
Double faults per game0.460.31
Sets with a tie-break15%10%
Tie-breaks won5/112/5
Wins in straight sets62%78%
Matches in the sample3121

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dominik Palan

  • 18/10/26WArthur Weber#403Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 7:6 6:4
  • 06/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 4:6
  • 28/09/26LTerence Atmane#98Challenger Jingshan · Q11:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 2:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26LHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:4 1:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q21:6 4:6
  • 30/08/26WJi Sung Nam#819Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:4 6:3
  • 10/08/26LSemen Pankin#430Challenger Astana · R321:6 4:6
  • 23/07/26LYanki Erel#284Challenger Segovia · R166:3 6:7 2:6
  • 21/07/26WMax Basing#256Challenger Segovia · R323:6 6:3 6:4

Semen Pankin

Elo over the last year

Dominik PalanSemen Pankin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. PalanS. Pankin
Hard court13–1645%9–1243%
Clay0–20%0–0

Head to head

D. Palan 0–1 S. Pankin

  • 10/08/26Winner: Semen Pankin1:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Dominik Palan

Semen Pankin