Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pankin vs Zhukov 2:0: result and our tips

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Semen PankinATP #430Elo 1461hard 1459
2:0final6:4 7:6(5)
Maxim ZhukovATP #775Elo 1414hard 1413

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: PankinWon64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zhukov lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zhukov: 4 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Semen Pankin59%
Maxim Zhukov41%

Elo: S. Pankin 57% · M. Zhukov 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Pankin38%
2:1 S. Pankin21%
2:1 M. Zhukov17%
2:0 M. Zhukov24%

First set

Semen Pankin57%
Maxim Zhukov43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,926 matches

Games handicap

Semen Pankin −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Semen PankinMaxim Zhukov
7Aces10
2Double faults3
56%First serves in68%
69%First-serve points won60%
63%Second-serve points won42%
4/9Break points converted3/4
8/11Service games held7/11
66%Service points won54%
46%Return points won34%
78Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. PankinTourM. Zhukov
Service points won62%62%59%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held76%76%71%
Breaks of serve21%24%22%
Aces per service game0.450.35
Double faults per game0.300.40
Sets with a tie-break10%25%
Tie-breaks won2/54/9
Wins in straight sets78%50%
Matches in the sample2214

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Semen Pankin

Maxim Zhukov

  • 05/10/26LRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Wuning 3 · Q27:6 1:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WEgor AgafonovChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 7:5 3:3
  • 13/09/26LThijmen LoofChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:7 7:5 3:6
  • 06/09/26LSamir Hamza Reguig#723Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:7 6:3 0:1
  • 11/08/26LSergey Fomin#294Challenger Astana · R325:7 1:4
  • 02/08/26LKerem Yilmaz#866Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
  • 18/01/26LDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Phan Thiet · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
  • 04/01/26LShintaro ImaiChallenger Nonthaburi · Q14:6 4:6
  • 19/11/25LRei Sakamoto#124Challenger Yokohama · R161:6 2:6
  • 17/11/25WRyo Tabata#933Challenger Yokohama · R326:4 6:4

Elo over the last year

Semen PankinMaxim Zhukov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. PankinM. Zhukov
Hard court9–1341%4–1029%

Head to head

They have not met yet.