Skip to content
Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Paris vs Faucon 2:1: result and our tips

·

Tom ParisATP #683Elo 1562hard 1575
2:1final6:7(4) 6:2 7:5
R. FauconATP #476Elo 1465hard 1482

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tom Paris72%
R. Faucon28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Paris50%
2:1 T. Paris22%
2:1 R. Faucon12%
2:0 R. Faucon16%

First set

Tom Paris67%
R. Faucon34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.538%63%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,375 matches

Games handicap

T. Paris −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Tom ParisR. Faucon
14Aces5
3Double faults2
66%First serves in78%
70%First-serve points won66%
64%Second-serve points won52%
3/6Break points converted0/9
16/16Service games held13/16
68%Service points won63%
37%Return points won32%
117Total points won101

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ParisTourR. Faucon
Service points won63%62%—
Return points won35%38%—
Service games held78%76%—
Breaks of serve19%24%—
Aces per service game0.51—
Double faults per game0.25—
Sets with a tie-break21%—
Tie-breaks won4/9—
Wins in straight sets57%—
Matches in the sample18—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tom Paris

R. Faucon

  • 22/06/26LNikita Belozertsev#848Challenger Plovdiv · Q23:6 6:4 3:6
  • 21/06/26WWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra#763Challenger Plovdiv · Q14:6 6:4 6:2

Elo over the last year

Tom ParisR. Faucon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ParisR. Faucon
Hard court6–940%0–0
Clay1–233%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.