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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Peliwo vs Purtseladze 2:0: result and our tips

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Filip PeliwoATP #643Elo 1520hard 1521
2:0final6:2 6:3
Saba PurtseladzeATP #571Elo 1442hard 1441

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Peliwo 15 of 20, Purtseladze 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Filip Peliwo37%
Saba Purtseladze63%

Elo: F. Peliwo 61% · S. Purtseladze 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Peliwo22%
2:1 F. Peliwo16%
2:1 S. Purtseladze22%
2:0 S. Purtseladze41%

First set

Filip Peliwo41%
Saba Purtseladze59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,761 matches

Games handicap

S. Purtseladze −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Filip PeliwoSaba Purtseladze
3Aces3
0Double faults7
71%First serves in53%
78%First-serve points won69%
35%Second-serve points won31%
4/12Break points converted0/6
8/8Service games held5/9
66%Service points won51%
49%Return points won35%
74Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. PeliwoTourS. Purtseladze
Service points won59%62%58%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held69%76%70%
Breaks of serve20%24%23%
Aces per service game0.330.59
Double faults per game0.220.54
Sets with a tie-break16%12%
Tie-breaks won6/101/9
Wins in straight sets67%78%
Matches in the sample2733

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Peliwo

  • 07/10/26LTimofei Derepasko#615Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 6:7
  • 06/10/26WMax Purcell#616Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:1
  • 28/09/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 4:6
  • 17/09/26LMoise Kouame#176Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R161:6 2:4
  • 15/09/26WTai Leonard Sach#512Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 6:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#817Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:1 6:4
  • 13/09/26WArjun RathiChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 6:4
  • 11/09/26LArthur Weber#398Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF6:7 2:6
  • 10/09/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R167:6 6:3
  • 08/09/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#851Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:1 4:6 7:6

Saba Purtseladze

  • 19/10/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 6:7
  • 18/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#433Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 6:2
  • 20/09/26LAdrian Andreev#605Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:4 0:6 2:3
  • 13/09/26LJohan Nikles#418Challenger Szczecin · Q12:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#400Challenger Seville · Q12:6 6:3 1:6
  • 14/08/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Hamburg · QF2:2
  • 13/08/26WMax Hans Rehberg#264Challenger Hamburg · R166:1 5:7 7:5
  • 11/08/26WFryderyk Łechno-Wasiutyński#786Challenger Hamburg · R326:4 7:5
  • 10/08/26LDenis Yevseyev#471Challenger Hamburg · Q25:7 5:7
  • 09/08/26WRichard AntoniChallenger Hamburg · Q16:1 6:4

Elo over the last year

Filip PeliwoSaba Purtseladze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. PeliwoS. Purtseladze
Hard court9–1735%4–931%
Clay0–10%5–1525%

Head to head

They have not met yet.