Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pellegrino vs Martin Tiffon 0:0: result and our tips

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Andrea PellegrinoATP #144Elo 1757clay 1761
0:0retired1:3
Pol Martin TiffonATP #211Elo 1704clay 1684

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrea Pellegrino59%
Pol Martin Tiffon41%

Elo: A. Pellegrino 61% · P. Martin Tiffon 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Pellegrino38%
2:1 A. Pellegrino22%
2:1 P. Martin Tiffon17%
2:0 P. Martin Tiffon23%

First set

Andrea Pellegrino58%
Pol Martin Tiffon42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%27%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.552%48%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,910 matches

Games handicap

Andrea Pellegrino −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

Match stats

Andrea PellegrinoPol Martin Tiffon
—Aces—
2Double faults1
57%First serves in57%
63%First-serve points won63%
33%Second-serve points won83%
0/0Break points converted1/6
1/2Service games held2/2
50%Service points won71%
29%Return points won50%
18Total points won24

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. PellegrinoTourP. Martin Tiffon
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held76%76%77%
Breaks of serve25%24%26%
Aces per service game0.310.31
Double faults per game0.220.29
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won9/1410/15
Wins in straight sets50%70%
Matches in the sample5658

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrea Pellegrino

Pol Martin Tiffon

Elo over the last year

Andrea PellegrinoPol Martin Tiffon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. PellegrinoP. Martin Tiffon
Hard court1–517%12–571%
Clay28–2058%20–1951%
Grass1–150%1–150%

Head to head

A. Pellegrino 1–0 P. Martin Tiffon

  • 17/03/26Winner: Andrea Pellegrino6:4 6:4