Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Pereira vs Sanchez Izquierdo 2:0: result and our tips

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Tiago PereiraATP #339Elo 1562clay 1548
2:0final7:5 6:3
Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoATP #157Elo 1751clay 1755

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: market alone 71% → with the players' profiles 67%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 18 of 20, Sanchez Izquierdo 16 of 20 (tour average 68%); Pereira: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Sanchez IzquierdoLost73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sanchez Izquierdo: 6 wins in a row

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 14 of 20, Sanchez Izquierdo 9 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tiago Pereira27%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo73%

Elo: T. Pereira 23% · N. Sanchez Izquierdo 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Pereira15%
2:1 T. Pereira13%
2:1 N. Sanchez Izquierdo23%
2:0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo50%

First set

Tiago Pereira33%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,370 matches

Games handicap

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tiago PereiraNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
5Aces0
0Double faults2
73%First serves in67%
75%First-serve points won70%
67%Second-serve points won56%
2/2Break points converted0/3
11/11Service games held8/10
73%Service points won65%
35%Return points won27%
65Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. PereiraTourN. Sanchez Izquierdo
Service points won59%62%61%
Return points won37%38%42%
Service games held71%76%74%
Breaks of serve22%24%32%
Aces per service game0.270.19
Double faults per game0.160.22
Sets with a tie-break16%16%
Tie-breaks won6/158/23
Wins in straight sets29%64%
Matches in the sample4063

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tiago Pereira

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Elo over the last year

Tiago PereiraNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. PereiraN. Sanchez Izquierdo
Hard court5–1131%0–10%
Clay9–1439%36–2559%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tiago Pereira

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo