Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Perez Contri vs Sakellaridis 1:2: result and our tips

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Sergi Perez ContriATP #429Elo 1520clay 1520
1:2final6:3 4:6 3:6
Dimitris SakellaridisATP #555Elo 1513clay 1525

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sergi Perez Contri72%
Dimitris Sakellaridis28%

Elo: S. Perez Contri 49% · D. Sakellaridis 51%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Perez Contri49%
2:1 S. Perez Contri23%
2:1 D. Sakellaridis13%
2:0 D. Sakellaridis15%

First set

Sergi Perez Contri66%
Dimitris Sakellaridis34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.569%31%76%
18.561%39%68%
19.554%46%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.542%59%47%
22.537%63%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 3,585 matches

Games handicap

Sergi Perez Contri −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Sergi Perez ContriDimitris Sakellaridis
2Aces4
10Double faults6
64%First serves in60%
52%First-serve points won56%
46%Second-serve points won48%
6/19Break points converted7/12
7/14Service games held8/14
50%Service points won53%
47%Return points won50%
113Total points won120

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Perez ContriTourD. Sakellaridis
Service points won58%62%57%
Return points won43%38%41%
Service games held68%76%69%
Breaks of serve34%24%33%
Aces per service game0.160.27
Double faults per game0.420.28
Sets with a tie-break19%7%
Tie-breaks won4/71/3
Wins in straight sets71%70%
Matches in the sample1520

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sergi Perez Contri

  • 18/10/26WSebastian Gima#491Challenger Florence · Q17:5 7:6
  • 12/10/26LFlorian Broska#317Challenger Maia · Q23:6 6:2 6:7
  • 11/10/26WTiago Cacao#626Challenger Maia · Q12:6 6:3 6:1
  • 04/10/26LNicolas Barrientos#908Challenger Braga · Q16:7 6:1 4:6
  • 06/09/26LAlexander Ritschard#483Challenger Seville · Q17:6 4:6 4:6
  • 08/04/26LJurij Rodionov#137Challenger Madrid · R166:7 7:6 3:6
  • 06/04/26WArthur Gea#44Challenger Madrid · R326:2 3:6 6:1
  • 22/03/26LBenjamin Hassan#497Challenger Montemar · Q13:6 5:7
  • 18/03/26LKyrian Jacquet#85Challenger Zadar · R162:6 0:6
  • 17/03/26WJosip Simundza#845Challenger Zadar · R326:1 6:1

Dimitris Sakellaridis

  • 18/10/26WMattia NannelliChallenger Florence · Q17:5 6:3
  • 11/10/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Catania · Q11:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26LZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Palermo · R324:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26WM. Cerny#678Challenger Palermo · Q23:6 6:1 7:6
  • 04/10/26WRobert Guna#858Challenger Palermo · Q17:5 6:4
  • 28/09/26LM. W. Donald#416Challenger Bari · Q25:7 6:7
  • 27/09/26WFilippo Francesco GarberoChallenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1
  • 21/09/26LLorenzo BertoChallenger Genoa 2 · Q26:1 5:7 4:6
  • 20/09/26WAlessandro CeppelliniChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:2
  • 14/09/26LAlex Marti Pujolras#484Challenger Biella · Q21:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Sergi Perez ContriDimitris Sakellaridis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Perez ContriD. Sakellaridis
Hard court0–01–325%
Clay7–847%9–756%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sergi Perez Contri

Dimitris Sakellaridis