Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Pinnington Jones vs Schwaerzler 2:0: result and our tips

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Jack Pinnington JonesATP #205Elo 1733hard 1719
2:0final6:1 6:3
Joel SchwaerzlerATP #176Elo 1743hard 1755

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jack Pinnington Jones53%
Joel Schwaerzler47%

Elo: J. Pinnington Jones 45% · J. Schwaerzler 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pinnington Jones34%
2:1 J. Pinnington Jones20%
2:1 J. Schwaerzler18%
2:0 J. Schwaerzler28%

First set

Jack Pinnington Jones53%
Joel Schwaerzler47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,227 matches

Games handicap

Jack Pinnington Jones −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jack Pinnington JonesJoel Schwaerzler
3Aces4
4Double faults3
70%First serves in49%
77%First-serve points won52%
29%Second-serve points won38%
5/8Break points converted1/5
7/8Service games held3/8
63%Service points won45%
55%Return points won38%
61Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Pinnington JonesTourJ. Schwaerzler
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held73%76%80%
Breaks of serve27%24%19%
Aces per service game0.430.48
Double faults per game0.370.25
Sets with a tie-break18%24%
Tie-breaks won11/2123/35
Wins in straight sets63%50%
Matches in the sample4961

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Joel Schwaerzler

Elo over the last year

Jack Pinnington JonesJoel Schwaerzler

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Pinnington JonesJ. Schwaerzler
Hard court19–1556%20–1263%
Clay3–538%14–1450%
Grass2–529%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jack Pinnington Jones

Joel Schwaerzler