WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Prozorova vs Okamura 1:2: result and our tips

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Tatiana ProzorovaWTA #117Elo 1798hard 1799
1:2final4:6 6:3 6:7(5)
Kyoka OkamuraWTA #244Elo 1634hard 1633

Our tips

Our tip
Prozorova to winLost77%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 4 wins in a row; Prozorova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
A third setWon32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 5 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tatiana Prozorova77%
Kyoka Okamura23%

Elo: T. Prozorova 72% · K. Okamura 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Prozorova54%
2:1 T. Prozorova19%
2:1 K. Okamura13%
2:0 K. Okamura14%

First set

Tatiana Prozorova69%
Kyoka Okamura31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.581%19%79%
17.572%28%70%
18.560%40%61%
19.552%48%53%
20.546%54%46%
21.540%60%41%
22.536%64%37%

Sample: 1,572 matches

Games handicap

Tatiana Prozorova −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 20.0out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Tatiana ProzorovaKyoka Okamura
0Aces5
2Double faults2
73%First serves in65%
66%First-serve points won64%
46%Second-serve points won58%
4/16Break points converted4/10
12/16Service games held11/15
61%Service points won62%
38%Return points won39%
103Total points won105

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ProzorovaTourK. Okamura
Service points won58%56%57%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held66%63%66%
Breaks of serve41%37%37%
Aces per service game0.210.21
Double faults per game0.250.27
Sets with a tie-break8%18%
Tie-breaks won4/72/7
Wins in straight sets65%67%
Matches in the sample3718

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tatiana Prozorova

  • 05/10/26WRuien Zhang#611WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:4 3:6 6:2
  • 25/09/26WXinyu Wang#39WTA Singapore · QF3:6 7:5 6:4
  • 24/09/26WAlexandra Eala#19WTA Singapore · R164:6 7:5 6:3
  • 22/09/26WSofia Costoulas#159WTA Singapore · R325:7 7:6 6:2
  • 25/08/26LKristina Liutova#116WTA US Open · Q14:6 6:4 2:6
  • 30/07/26LPeyton Stearns#37WTA Memphis · R161:6 2:6
  • 27/07/26WSolana Sierra#101WTA Memphis · R326:1 5:7 6:2
  • 27/07/26WKennedy Drenser-Hagmann#908WTA Memphis · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
  • 17/07/26LAnastasia Zakharova#111WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · QF3:6 3:6
  • 16/07/26WDarya Khomutsianskaya#275WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R166:4 6:3

Kyoka Okamura

  • 06/10/26WDarja Vidmanova#90WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:2 6:7 6:1
  • 05/10/26WSijia Wei#383WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:3 6:2
  • 04/10/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#370WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:3 7:6
  • 02/10/26LEmerson Jones#122WTA 125 Jingshan · QF6:7 6:7
  • 01/10/26WAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Jingshan · R166:7 6:1 6:3
  • 29/09/26WRu Xi Wu#933WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:2 6:4
  • 21/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Singapore · R322:6 3:6
  • 20/09/26WMei Yamaguchi#257WTA Singapore · Q26:1 6:1
  • 19/09/26WEva Marie Desvignes#873WTA Singapore · Q17:6 6:3
  • 28/07/26LHayu Kinoshita#221WTA 125 Vancouver · R321:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Tatiana ProzorovaKyoka Okamura

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ProzorovaK. Okamura
Hard court19–1066%9–950%
Clay1–233%0–0
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tatiana Prozorova

  • 05/10/26WRuien Zhang#611WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:4 3:6 6:2

Kyoka Okamura