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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Quevedo vs Kenin 2:1: result and our tips

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Kaitlin QuevedoWTA #86Elo 1757hard 1739
2:1final6:4 6:7(5) 6:4
Sofia KeninWTA #187Elo 1693hard 1664

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Quevedo 16 of 20, Kenin 13 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kaitlin Quevedo53%
Sofia Kenin47%

Elo: K. Quevedo 61% · S. Kenin 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Quevedo32%
2:1 K. Quevedo19%
2:1 S. Kenin19%
2:0 S. Kenin30%

First set

Kaitlin Quevedo51%
Sofia Kenin49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,343 matches

Games handicap

K. Quevedo −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Kaitlin QuevedoSofia Kenin
21Aces3
3Double faults2
66%First serves in69%
65%First-serve points won66%
49%Second-serve points won48%
5/6Break points converted3/11
13/16Service games held11/16
60%Service points won60%
40%Return points won41%
118Total points won114

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. QuevedoTourS. Kenin
Service points won56%56%55%
Return points won45%44%40%
Service games held64%63%62%
Breaks of serve39%37%27%
Aces per service game0.210.16
Double faults per game0.300.39
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won8/123/9
Wins in straight sets56%63%
Matches in the sample5235

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kaitlin Quevedo

Sofia Kenin

Elo over the last year

Kaitlin QuevedoSofia Kenin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. QuevedoS. Kenin
Hard court15–963%4–1818%
Clay16–1062%2–529%
Grass1–150%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.