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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Ratti vs Rubini 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucio RattiATP #369Elo 1488clay 1487
2:0final6:3 6:4
Alessandro RubiniElo 1383clay 1384

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucio Ratti97%
Alessandro Rubini3%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Ratti87%
2:1 L. Ratti10%
2:1 A. Rubini2%
2:0 A. Rubini2%

First set

Lucio Ratti93%
Alessandro Rubini7%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes12%
no88%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 62%market (no margin): 55%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.587%13%98%
14.577%23%96%
15.563%37%91%
16.550%50%84%
17.538%62%76%
18.532%69%68%
19.525%75%59%

Sample: 1,006 matches

Games handicap

L. Ratti −7.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes11%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 17.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Lucio RattiAlessandro Rubini
2Aces1
4Double faults0
59%First serves in80%
69%First-serve points won55%
56%Second-serve points won50%
4/7Break points converted2/7
8/10Service games held5/9
64%Service points won54%
46%Return points won36%
62Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. RattiTourA. Rubini
Service points won60%62%—
Return points won42%38%—
Service games held72%76%—
Breaks of serve32%24%—
Aces per service game0.23—
Double faults per game0.29—
Sets with a tie-break11%—
Tie-breaks won4/10—
Wins in straight sets65%—
Matches in the sample40—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucio Ratti

  • 13/10/26LGenaro Alberto Olivieri#257Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R324:6 6:4 2:6
  • 12/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q24:6 6:3 6:0
  • 05/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#511Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 6:4 2:6
  • 04/10/26WJoao Victor Couto Loureiro#968Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26LFederico Coria#834Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R327:6 3:6 5:7
  • 06/09/26LLukas Pokorny#500Challenger Tulln · Q11:6 7:5 4:6
  • 19/08/26LDominic Stricker#253Challenger Sion · R164:6 4:6
  • 18/08/26WOgnjen Milic#362Challenger Sion · R326:2 4:6 7:5
  • 12/08/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Astana · R164:6 5:7
  • 10/08/26WTai Leonard Sach#512Challenger Astana · R326:3 6:3

Alessandro Rubini

Elo over the last year

Lucio RattiAlessandro Rubini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. RattiA. Rubini
Hard court3–350%0–0
Clay17–1750%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.